sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

Hellboy-winner

0x604…7304
SharpWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+CryptoPoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$757vol $83.5k
PnL 30d+$198gains $159 · losses $13
PnL 7d+$39win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate80.4%adj 77.8% · 30d 87.5%
Open value$3,325cash n/a
Positions25 / 244open / all-time
Max drawdown−17.9%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$1,012below peak $0Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

75/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale41
Adjusted win rateraw 80.4% · shrunk toward 50%95
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable80
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d92
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity82

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 25

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No60093.2¢95.7¢$574+$15$0
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No60082¢86¢$516+$24$0
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No54687.4¢90.1¢$492+$15$0
Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31?No40284.3¢89.5¢$359+$21$0
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No40088¢87.5¢$350−$2.00$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Yes30092¢94.5¢$284+$7.50$0
Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No20084¢86.5¢$173+$5.00$0
Will Esmail Qaani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No17393.8¢97.1¢$168+$5.62$0
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?No15084¢87¢$131+$4.50$0
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No12095¢96.6¢$116+$1.92$0
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?No6595¢96.9¢$63+$1.24$0
Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?Yes20026¢25.5¢$51−$1.00$0
Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?Yes20030¢18.5¢$37−$23$0
Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?Yes10021.7¢12.2¢$12−$9.55$0
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2,25336.5¢0¢$0−$822−$23
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5876.2¢0¢$0−$36−$1.09
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5876.7¢0¢$0−$39−$1.17
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2652.6¢0¢$0−$6.89−$0.30
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2653.2¢0¢$0−$8.48−$0.33
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETUp1010¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETDown521¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.06
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETUp521¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.06
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETDown396.7¢0¢$0−$3.00−$0.01
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETDown246¢0¢$0−$1.00+$0.01
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETUp188¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.01

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoIran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?82¢300$24680%75Sharp
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?95¢300$28580%75Sharp
BUY NoIran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?82¢300$24680%75Sharp
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?92¢300$27680%75Sharp
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?90¢100$9080%75Sharp
BUY NoWill Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?88¢100$8880%75Sharp
BUY NoMohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?84¢80$6780%75Sharp
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 5?98.5¢300$29680%75Sharp
BUY NoWill Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?84¢150$12680%75Sharp
BUY NoWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?89.1¢100$8980%75Sharp
BUY NoWill Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?84¢50$4280%75Sharp
BUY YesWill USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?30¢100$3080%75Sharp
BUY YesWill USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?25¢100$2580%75Sharp
BUY YesWill USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?21.7¢100$2280%75Sharp
BUY NoWill Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?88¢300$26480%75Sharp
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?92¢200$18480%75Sharp
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?93¢100$9380%75Sharp
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?93¢200$18680%75Sharp
SELL YesWill USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31?16¢100$1680%75Sharp
BUY NoWill Iran target Bahrain by September 30, 2026?99¢42$4280%75Sharp