sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,930

SleeperHunter

0x606…1083
SharpPnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$26.0kvol $2.96M
PnL 30d+$2,468gains $5,872 · losses $3,220
PnL 7d−$142win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate76.2%adj 74.8% · 30d 88.5%
Open value$84.0kcash n/a
Positions35 / 400open / all-time
Max drawdown−46.2%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 30m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$27.0kbelow peak −$275Oct 15

SharpScore inputs

72/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale63
Adjusted win rateraw 76.2% · shrunk toward 50%87
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable87
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity54

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 22

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes23.5k90.1¢90.5¢$21.3k+$83$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No27.0k50¢77.9¢$21.0k+$7,520$0
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?Yes6,66099.3¢99.4¢$6,617+$2.80+$5.41
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes27.0k50¢22.2¢$5,981−$7,520$0
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes5,00085¢87.2¢$4,358+$108+$21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No4,00093.5¢99.1¢$3,962+$222$0
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?No4,02886¢93.5¢$3,766+$303$0
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No3,00069.1¢77.5¢$2,325+$251+$26
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No2,00087.8¢95.7¢$1,913+$156−$886
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No2,13571¢81.5¢$1,740+$224$0
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes1,52996.7¢99.2¢$1,517+$38$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Yes1,53192.7¢99¢$1,514+$96$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes2,00064.5¢68.5¢$1,369+$79$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes1,50064¢79.5¢$1,193+$233$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes2,00068¢50.5¢$1,010−$350$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No1,00089¢94.5¢$945+$55$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No1,50037.8¢62.3¢$934+$367$0
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No76994.2¢91.2¢$701−$23$0
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Yes2,30268.2¢21.5¢$495−$1,074$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Yes75671¢61.5¢$465−$72$0
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)No50071¢92.5¢$463+$108$0
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No42691.5¢95.3¢$406+$16+$137

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down on October 15?89¢55$4976%72Sharp
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down on October 14?98.6¢514$50776%72Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?91¢500$45576%72Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?91¢3,000$2,73076%72Sharp
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?92.7¢1,391$1,28976%72Sharp
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?92.5¢140$12976%72Sharp
BUY NoIsrael accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?84¢2,028$1,70476%72Sharp
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?99.7¢1,805$1,80076%72Sharp
BUY NoNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)71¢200$14276%72Sharp
BUY NoNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?92.7¢500$46376%72Sharp
BUY NoNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?97.5¢3,030$2,95376%72Sharp
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?99.3¢1,319$1,31076%72Sharp
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?99.2¢975$96776%72Sharp
BUY YesWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?70¢20$1476%72Sharp
BUY YesWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?70¢22$1576%72Sharp
BUY YesWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?70¢30$2176%72Sharp
BUY YesWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?69¢230$15976%72Sharp
BUY YesWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?68¢105$7176%72Sharp
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?69¢7$5.0776%72Sharp
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?91¢1,000$91076%72Sharp