PnL all-time+$3,249vol $146k
PnL 30d−$325gains $0 · losses $416
PnL 7d−$388win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate42.8%adj 43.4% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$6,674cash n/a
Positions51 / 261open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age5molast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
Not enough history to draw an equity curve.
SharpScore inputs
61/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale50
Adjusted win rateraw 42.8% · shrunk toward 50%8
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable81
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? · Noclosed+$2,048Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · Noclosed+$1,154Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? · Noclosed+$485Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Noopen+$275Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Noopen+$225
Worst markets
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? · Yesclosed−$399US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? · Yesclosed−$103Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27? · Yesclosed−$100Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? · Yesclosed−$90Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET · Upclosed−$67
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 3,000 | 87¢ | 94.5¢ | $2,835 | +$225 | $0 | |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,400 | 86¢ | 97.5¢ | $2,339 | +$275 | $0 | |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? | No | 814 | 82¢ | 96.5¢ | $785 | +$118 | $0 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 1,500 | 36¢ | 36.5¢ | $548 | +$7.50 | $0 | |
| Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | No | 172 | 90¢ | 97.4¢ | $168 | +$13 | $0 |
Recent trades
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