Traders/Rank #4,637

ComradeCat

0x60e…8d4c

PoliticsWeatherSport

Polymarket

PnL all-time−$1,524vol $808k

PnL 30d+$4,548gains $8,656 · losses $2,752

PnL 7d+$2,792win rate 7d 40.0%

Win rate47.3%adj 47.4% · 30d 46.7%

Open value$4,908cash n/a

Positions120 / 4,686open / all-time

Max drawdown−96.2%of equity peak

Account age6molast trade 11m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$1,831below peak −$262Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

33/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0

Adjusted win rateraw 47.3% · shrunk toward 50%18

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity4

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yesclosed+$1,895 Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? · Yesclosed+$998 Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yesclosed+$910 Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yesclosed+$795 Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yesopen+$658

Worst markets

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yesopen−$588 Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-09-08? · Yesclosed−$277 LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner · Team WEclosed−$264 Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yesopen−$169 Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $74,000 on October 5? · Yesclosed−$152

Open positions · 100

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	3,098	5.9¢	23.5¢	$728	+$545	+$112	2d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	3,068	12.6¢	22.2¢	$680	+$294	+$130	2d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	3,098	5.1¢	15.7¢	$486	+$329	+$60	2d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	2,342	4.2¢	14.5¢	$340	+$242	+$22	5d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	2,345	4.2¢	13.5¢	$317	+$218	+$17	5d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	2,477	3.8¢	12.5¢	$310	+$216	$0	5d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	3,098	5¢	8.6¢	$266	+$110	+$29	2d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	2,207	3.8¢	11.5¢	$254	+$170	+$13	5d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	2,523	3.8¢	9.6¢	$242	+$147	$0	5d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	2,523	3.8¢	7.8¢	$196	+$101	$0	5d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	3,098	5¢	5.2¢	$161	+$5.69	+$1.44	2d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	2,523	3.8¢	5.5¢	$139	+$44	$0	5d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	3,098	5¢	3.8¢	$116	−$39	−$24	2d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	2,523	3.8¢	3.9¢	$97	+$2.13	$0	5d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	3,097	5¢	2.4¢	$73	−$82	−$26	2d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	2,523	3.8¢	2.6¢	$66	−$29	$0	5d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	2,523	3.8¢	2.4¢	$59	−$36	$0	5d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	3,098	5¢	1.5¢	$45	−$110	−$36	2d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	2,523	3.8¢	1.7¢	$42	−$53	$0	5d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	2,523	3.8¢	1.7¢	$42	−$53	$0	5d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	4,072	5¢	1¢	$39	−$164	−$4.22	2d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	2,523	3.8¢	1.1¢	$26	−$69	$0	5d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	2,523	3.8¢	0.8¢	$19	−$76	$0	5d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	99	3.8¢	18¢	$18	+$14	$0	9d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	99	3.8¢	16.5¢	$16	+$13	$0	9d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	99	3.8¢	15.5¢	$15	+$12	$0	9d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	99	3.8¢	14.5¢	$14	+$11	$0	9d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	2,523	3.8¢	0.5¢	$14	−$81	$0	5d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	845	2.2¢	1.6¢	$13	−$5.47	−$138	2d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	99	3.8¢	11.5¢	$11	+$7.68	$0	9d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	2,523	3.8¢	0.4¢	$10	−$85	$0	5d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	99	3.8¢	8¢	$7.93	+$4.21	$0	9d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	2,523	3.8¢	0.3¢	$7.57	−$87	$0	5d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	99	3.8¢	5.5¢	$5.45	+$1.73	$0	9d 8h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 10?	Yes	5	94¢	99.8¢	$5.31	+$0.31	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 10?	No	5	95¢	97.8¢	$5.15	+$0.15	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 10?	Yes	6	89¢	89¢	$5.00	$0	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	99	3.8¢	3.3¢	$3.22	−$0.50	$0	9d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	99	3.8¢	2.5¢	$2.43	−$1.29	$0	9d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	99	3.8¢	1.6¢	$1.59	−$2.13	$0	9d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	2,523	3.8¢	0.1¢	$1.26	−$94	$0	5d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	2,523	3.8¢	0.1¢	$1.26	−$94	$0	5d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	2,523	3.8¢	0.1¢	$1.26	−$94	$0	5d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	99	3.8¢	1.2¢	$1.19	−$2.53	$0	9d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	99	3.8¢	1.1¢	$1.09	−$2.63	$0	9d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	99	3.8¢	1¢	$0.94	−$2.78	$0	9d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	99	3.8¢	0.9¢	$0.84	−$2.88	$0	9d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	99	3.8¢	0.9¢	$0.84	−$2.88	$0	9d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	99	3.8¢	0.5¢	$0.50	−$3.22	$0	9d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	99	3.8¢	0.5¢	$0.50	−$3.22	$0	9d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	99	3.8¢	0.5¢	$0.50	−$3.22	$0	9d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	73	3.7¢	0.5¢	$0.37	−$2.35	−$0.98	9d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	319	10.4¢	0.1¢	$0.16	−$33	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	319	10.4¢	0.1¢	$0.16	−$33	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	14	3.7¢	0.6¢	$0.08	−$0.44	−$2.88	9d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	14	3.7¢	0.5¢	$0.08	−$0.44	−$2.92	9d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	14	3.7¢	0.5¢	$0.07	−$0.45	−$3.13	9d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	99	3.8¢	0.1¢	$0.05	−$3.67	$0	9d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	99	3.8¢	0.1¢	$0.05	−$3.67	$0	9d 8h
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 10?	Yes	6	81¢	0.1¢	$0	−$5.00	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	3,168	3.7¢	0¢	$0	−$117	−$0.66	ended
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	3,168	3.7¢	0¢	$0	−$117	−$0.66	ended
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	3,168	3.7¢	0¢	$0	−$117	−$0.66	ended
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	3,168	3.7¢	0¢	$0	−$117	−$0.66	ended
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	3,078	0¢	0¢	$0	+$0.57	−$112	ended
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	3,078	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	−$1.15	ended
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	3,078	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	3,078	0¢	0¢	$0	+$0.01	−$3.64	ended
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	3,078	0¢	0¢	$0	+$0.01	−$3.64	ended
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	3,078	0¢	0¢	$0	+$0.01	−$3.64	ended
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	3,003	0.6¢	0¢	$0	−$19	−$13	ended
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	4,031	0¢	0¢	$0	+$0.32	−$91	2d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	4,031	0¢	0¢	$0	+$0.32	−$91	2d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	4,031	0¢	0¢	$0	+$0.14	−$62	2d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	4,031	0¢	0¢	$0	+$0.23	−$64	2d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	1,984	4.8¢	0¢	$0	−$95	−$0.15	ended
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	1,984	4.8¢	0¢	$0	−$95	−$0.15	ended
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	1,984	4.8¢	0¢	$0	−$95	−$0.15	ended
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	1,984	4.8¢	0¢	$0	−$95	−$0.15	ended
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	1,984	4.8¢	0¢	$0	−$95	−$0.15	ended
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	1,984	4.8¢	0¢	$0	−$95	−$0.15	ended
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	1,984	4.8¢	0¢	$0	−$95	−$0.15	ended
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	1,984	4.8¢	0¢	$0	−$95	−$0.15	ended
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	3,780	0¢	0¢	$0	+$0.30	−$81	2d 8h
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	1,675	4.7¢	0¢	$0	−$79	−$16	ended
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	1,610	4.7¢	0¢	$0	−$76	−$16	ended
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	1,549	1.4¢	0¢	$0	−$22	−$28	ended
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	1,513	1.2¢	0¢	$0	−$19	−$69	ended
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	1,499	1.2¢	0¢	$0	−$18	−$59	ended
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	1,391	6¢	0¢	$0	−$83	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	1,391	6¢	0¢	$0	−$83	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	1,391	6¢	0¢	$0	−$83	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	1,291	5.6¢	0¢	$0	−$72	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	1,238	5.6¢	0¢	$0	−$69	−$11	ended
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	1,238	5.6¢	0¢	$0	−$69	−$14	ended
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	1,238	5.6¢	0¢	$0	−$69	−$14	ended
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	1,230	22.8¢	0¢	$0	−$280	+$607	ended
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	1,230	2.3¢	0¢	$0	−$28	−$43	ended
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	656	0¢	0¢	$0	+$0.18	−$588	ended
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	2,185	0¢	0¢	$0	+$0.04	−$85	2d 8h

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp
11m ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	11.2¢	300	$34	47%	33
13m ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	4.7¢	11	$0.50	47%	33
26m ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	0.7¢	11	$0.07	47%	33
26m ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	0.1¢	11	$0.01	47%	33
26m ago	BUY No	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	94.7¢	11	$10	47%	33
27m ago	BUY No	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	92¢	29	$27	47%	33
32m ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	88¢	42	$37	47%	33
1h ago	BUY Yes	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	97.3¢	11	$11	47%	33
1h ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	1.2¢	22	$0.28	47%	33
1h ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	2.2¢	22	$0.49	47%	33
1h ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	0.4¢	22	$0.09	47%	33
1h ago	BUY No	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	89.9¢	22	$20	47%	33
2h ago	BUY Yes	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	97.3¢	15	$15	47%	33
2h ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	1.5¢	896	$13	47%	33
2h ago	BUY Yes	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	97.3¢	15	$15	47%	33
3h ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	0.4¢	28	$0.11	47%	33
3h ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	1.9¢	28	$0.53	47%	33
3h ago	BUY No	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	90.3¢	28	$25	47%	33
3h ago	BUY Yes	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 10?	59.4¢	8	$5.00	47%	33
4h ago	SELL Yes	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 10?	99.9¢	6	$5.60	47%	33