PnL all-time+$31vol $2,233
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate56.7%adj 54.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$2,782cash n/a
Positions4 / 35open / all-time
Max drawdown−0.6%of equity peak
Account age2.4ylast trade 19h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$31below peak −$5.62Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
42/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale21
Adjusted win rateraw 56.7% · shrunk toward 50%35
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable51
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity99
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 12? · Yesclosed−$4.05Will Kristi Noem win the 2024 Republican VP nomination? · Noclosed−$2.81Lions vs. Colts · Coltsclosed−$2.00Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Noopen−$1.38Will Larry Ellison be richest person on October 31? · Yesclosed−$1.00
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 2,761 | 99.6¢ | 99.6¢ | $2,749 | −$1.38 | $0 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | No | 25 | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | $25 | +$0.43 | $0 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6 | 81¢ | 80.5¢ | $4.97 | −$0.03 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 4 | 76¢ | 75.5¢ | $2.98 | −$0.02 | $0 |
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