PnL all-time+$771vol $2.04M
PnL 30d−$1,213gains $464 · losses $20
PnL 7d−$1,547win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate99.8%adj 97.9% · 30d 99.3%
Open value$44.8kcash n/a
Positions5 / 2,202open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 6d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$526below peak −$1,547Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
55/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale41
Adjusted win rateraw 99.8% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d77
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yesclosed+$399Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Noclosed+$277Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Noclosed+$112Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30? · Noclosed+$74Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or below on August 19? · Noclosed+$10
Worst markets
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? · Noopen−$1,374Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner · PARIVISIONopen−$165Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · Noclosed−$20Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on September 20? · Noopen−$5.00Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20? · Noopen−$4.99
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? | No | 55.0k | 84¢ | 81.5¢ | $44.8k | −$1,374 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20? | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.99 | $0 | |
| Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on September 20? | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.00 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20? | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.99 | $0 | |
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner | PARIVISION | 203 | 81¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$165 | $0 |
Recent trades
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