PnL all-time+$1,015vol $544k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate63.3%adj 60.9% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$20.3kcash n/a
Positions14 / 105open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.8ylast trade 1y ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$1,015below peak −$8,129Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
35/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale43
Adjusted win rateraw 63.3% · shrunk toward 50%52
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable67
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Trump say 'AI' or 'artificial intelligence' during the 2025 State of the Union? · Noclosed+$3,549Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? · Noclosed+$2,083Will Biden pardon SBF? · Noclosed+$1,780US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025? · Noopen+$1,400Will Trump say "mog" in 2024? · Noclosed+$1,001
Worst markets
Will Trump say 'Greenland' during the 2025 State of the Union? · Noclosed−$4,614Will Trump say 'trans' during the 2025 State of the Union? · Noclosed−$4,271Arsonists arrested in connection with LA wildfires? · Noclosed−$3,025Will Trump say 'Elon' or 'Musk' during the 2025 State of the Union? · Noclosed−$1,786Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1? · Noclosed−$1,516
Open positions · 11
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New pandemic in 2025? | No | 5,000 | 81¢ | 100¢ | $5,000 | +$950 | $0 | |
| US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025? | No | 3,500 | 60¢ | 100¢ | $3,500 | +$1,400 | $0 | |
| MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30? | No | 3,380 | 79.7¢ | 100¢ | $3,380 | +$688 | $0 | |
| New pandemic before July? | No | 2,499 | 90¢ | 100¢ | $2,499 | +$250 | $0 | |
| Will an FBI agent be charged for involvement in Jan 6? | No | 2,296 | 90.8¢ | 100¢ | $2,296 | +$211 | −$83 | |
| Gavin Newsom out as Governor before April? | No | 1,000 | 91¢ | 100¢ | $1,000 | +$90 | $0 | |
| Will Trump pardon 1,500 or more Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days? | No | 1,000 | 83¢ | 100¢ | $1,000 | +$170 | $0 | |
| Will McDonald's worker get reward money before April? | No | 1,000 | 86¢ | 100¢ | $1,000 | +$140 | $0 | |
| Fact Check: Is Luigi Mangione gay? | No | 570 | 84.9¢ | 100¢ | $570 | +$86 | $0 | |
| Will Trump deport less than 250,000? | No | 100 | 86¢ | 100¢ | $100 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will it be confirmed that Luigi Mangione used psychedelics? | No | 1 | 55¢ | 100¢ | $1.00 | +$0.45 | $0 |
Recent trades
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