Traders/Rank #826

J-E-R

0x612…aa53

SharpPnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+PoliticsSport

Polymarket

PnL all-time+$246kvol $22.9M

PnL 30d+$6,437gains $3,200 · losses $2,555

PnL 7d+$1,340win rate 7d 0.0%

Win rate57.5%adj 57.2% · 30d 23.1%

Open value$59.0kcash n/a

Positions100 / 600open / all-time

Max drawdown−10.4%of equity peak

Account age1.7ylast trade 10h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$342kbelow peak −$37.6kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

72/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale77

Adjusted win rateraw 57.5% · shrunk toward 50%43

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable93

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity90

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yesclosed+$34.4k Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed+$29.5k Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yesopen+$28.6k Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yesopen+$24.0k Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed+$10.6k

Worst markets

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Noclosed−$2,429 Will there be no US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? · Yesclosed−$1,572 Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yesopen−$1,352 Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yesopen−$1,352 Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yesopen−$1,352

Open positions · 100

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	244k	2¢	2.8¢	$6,712	+$1,736	+$2,896	25mo
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	6,269	52.5¢	96.4¢	$6,040	+$2,747	+$2,787	58d 1h
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	92.4k	2.1¢	5.9¢	$5,496	+$3,586	+$2,610	25mo
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	147k	2.7¢	2.8¢	$4,030	+$4.98	+$2,830	25mo
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	236k	0.7¢	1.4¢	$3,192	+$1,638	+$78	25mo
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	15.5k	14.2¢	17.8¢	$2,768	+$568	+$23.4k	25mo
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	2,700	96.9¢	98.8¢	$2,666	+$51	−$190	25mo
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	2,500	98.4¢	98.3¢	$2,456	−$3.71	−$639	25mo
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	29.2k	8.3¢	8.1¢	$2,353	−$79	+$28.7k	25mo
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	12.6k	15¢	18¢	$2,266	+$375	+$7,051	25mo
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	61.0k	2.5¢	3.1¢	$1,861	+$325	+$3,567	25mo
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	105k	1¢	1.7¢	$1,738	+$663	+$1,352	25mo
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	33.2k	3.9¢	4.6¢	$1,528	+$235	+$4,117	25mo
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	230k	0.7¢	0.7¢	$1,492	−$53	$0	25mo
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	228k	0.7¢	0.5¢	$1,254	−$263	$0	25mo
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	155k	1.1¢	0.7¢	$1,082	−$573	+$563	25mo
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	86.2k	1.8¢	1.3¢	$1,078	−$439	+$1,741	25mo
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	212k	0.7¢	0.5¢	$1,060	−$398	$0	25mo
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	6,980	13.2¢	15.1¢	$1,050	+$129	+$2,071	25mo
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	86.1k	0.7¢	0.9¢	$775	+$153	+$720	25mo
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	800	84¢	95.8¢	$766	+$94	$0	3mo
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	37.0k	1¢	2.1¢	$759	+$403	+$507	25mo
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	500	92.9¢	97.4¢	$487	+$23	$0	3mo
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	500	90.1¢	97.1¢	$485	+$35	−$0.47	3mo
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	106k	0.7¢	0.5¢	$477	−$232	−$0.62	25mo
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	5,000	5.3¢	7.5¢	$372	+$109	+$4,880	25mo
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	214k	0.7¢	0.2¢	$320	−$1,139	$0	25mo
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	198k	0.9¢	0.2¢	$297	−$1,463	+$235	25mo
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	43.0k	0.7¢	0.7¢	$280	−$30	+$273	25mo
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	450	67.3¢	57.5¢	$259	−$44	+$6.25	6mo
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	No	250	93.8¢	97.6¢	$244	+$9.38	$0	3mo
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	57.5k	0.8¢	0.4¢	$201	−$276	+$346	25mo
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	121k	0.7¢	0.2¢	$182	−$628	$0	25mo
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	71.8k	0.9¢	0.3¢	$179	−$479	+$543	25mo
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	113k	0.7¢	0.2¢	$169	−$646	$0	25mo
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	113k	0.7¢	0.2¢	$169	−$646	$0	25mo
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	113k	0.7¢	0.2¢	$169	−$646	$0	25mo
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	150	67¢	92¢	$138	+$37	$0	3mo
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	150	78¢	90.5¢	$136	+$19	$0	26d 1h
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	212k	0.7¢	0.1¢	$106	−$1,352	$0	25mo
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	212k	0.7¢	0.1¢	$106	−$1,352	$0	25mo
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	212k	0.7¢	0.1¢	$106	−$1,352	$0	25mo
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	212k	0.7¢	0.1¢	$106	−$1,352	$0	25mo
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	212k	0.7¢	0.1¢	$106	−$1,352	$0	25mo
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	210k	0.7¢	0.1¢	$105	−$1,339	−$8.11	25mo
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	208k	0.7¢	0.1¢	$104	−$1,323	−$19	25mo
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	190k	0.7¢	0.1¢	$95	−$1,211	−$108	25mo
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	188k	0.7¢	0.1¢	$94	−$1,196	−$120	25mo
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	51.1k	0.7¢	0.2¢	$77	−$265	−$286	25mo
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	500	15.4¢	15.2¢	$76	−$1.25	+$7,888	25mo
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	28.3k	0.7¢	0.3¢	$71	−$118	−$330	25mo
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	42.1k	0.7¢	0.2¢	$63	−$241	−$172	25mo
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	121k	0.7¢	0.1¢	$61	−$749	$0	25mo
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	121k	0.7¢	0.1¢	$61	−$749	$0	25mo
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	121k	0.7¢	0.1¢	$61	−$749	$0	25mo
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	121k	0.7¢	0.1¢	$61	−$749	$0	25mo
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	400	26.5¢	14.4¢	$57	−$49	$0	ended
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	113k	0.7¢	0.1¢	$56	−$759	$0	25mo
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	113k	0.7¢	0.1¢	$56	−$756	−$1.38	25mo
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	6,352	18.7¢	0.9¢	$54	−$1,131	+$303	58d 1h
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	15.1k	0.7¢	0.4¢	$53	−$54	+$978	25mo
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	95.7k	0.7¢	0.1¢	$48	−$610	−$641	25mo
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	83.2k	0.7¢	0.1¢	$42	−$530	−$638	25mo
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	5,782	10.4¢	0.7¢	$38	−$565	+$32	58d 1h
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	20.2k	0.7¢	0.2¢	$30	−$110	+$163	25mo
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	140	1.4¢	16.3¢	$23	+$21	$0	1d 1h
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?	No	20	94.4¢	94.3¢	$19	−$0.02	$0	3mo
Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	140	1.4¢	9.5¢	$13	+$11	$0	1d 1h
Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	140	1.4¢	8.1¢	$11	+$9.36	$0	1d 1h
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	2,915	3.6¢	0.4¢	$10	−$94	−$49	58d 1h
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	2,490	0.8¢	0.4¢	$8.71	−$11	+$793	25mo
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	2,490	0.8¢	0.4¢	$8.71	−$11	+$369	25mo
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	Yes	300	6¢	2.3¢	$6.90	−$11	$0	3mo
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	3,998	3.4¢	0.2¢	$6.00	−$129	+$126	58d 1h
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	3,500	0.7¢	0.2¢	$5.25	−$21	+$369	25mo
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	5	85.7¢	88.9¢	$4.45	+$0.16	$0	9mo
Will Hussam Abu Safiya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	140	1.4¢	3.1¢	$4.34	+$2.43	$0	1d 1h
Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	140	1.4¢	3.1¢	$4.27	+$2.36	$0	1d 1h
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	2,490	0.8¢	0.2¢	$3.73	−$16	+$306	25mo
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	50	14¢	6.5¢	$3.25	−$3.75	$0	3mo
Will the International Space Station win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	140	1.4¢	2.3¢	$3.22	+$1.31	$0	1d 1h
Will UNHCR win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	140	1.4¢	2.2¢	$3.01	+$1.10	$0	1d 1h
Will the International Criminal Court win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	140	1.4¢	2.1¢	$2.87	+$0.96	$0	1d 1h
Will Doctors Without Borders win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	140	1.4¢	2.1¢	$2.87	+$0.96	$0	1d 1h
Will Sara Al-Saqqa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	140	1.4¢	2¢	$2.73	+$0.82	$0	1d 1h
Will Ilham Tohti win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	140	1.4¢	1.9¢	$2.66	+$0.75	$0	1d 1h
Will Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	140	1.4¢	1.5¢	$2.10	+$0.19	$0	1d 1h
Will Jimmy Lai win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	140	1.4¢	1.4¢	$1.89	−$0.02	$0	1d 1h
Will ICRC win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	140	1.4¢	1.3¢	$1.82	−$0.09	$0	1d 1h
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	3,500	0.7¢	0.1¢	$1.75	−$23	+$440	25mo
Will Mark Carney win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	140	1.4¢	1.1¢	$1.54	−$0.37	$0	1d 1h
Will Reporters Without Borders win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	140	1.4¢	1¢	$1.33	−$0.58	$0	1d 1h
Will Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	140	1.4¢	0.9¢	$1.26	−$0.65	$0	1d 1h
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	2,490	0.8¢	0.1¢	$1.25	−$18	+$109	25mo
Will the International Peace Research Association win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	140	1.4¢	0.9¢	$1.19	−$0.72	$0	1d 1h
Will World Central Kitchen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	140	1.4¢	0.9¢	$1.19	−$0.72	$0	1d 1h
Will the Parents Circle – Families Forum win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	140	1.4¢	0.6¢	$0.84	−$1.07	$0	1d 1h
Will the International Association of Judges win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	140	1.4¢	0.4¢	$0.56	−$1.35	$0	1d 1h
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	190	0.6¢	0.2¢	$0.28	−$0.90	+$852	25mo
Will Yad Vashem win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	140	1.4¢	0.1¢	$0.07	−$1.84	$0	1d 1h

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp	Flags
10h ago	SELL Yes	Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	0.1¢	70.0k	$70	58%	72	Sharp
11h ago	BUY Yes	Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	0.1¢	1,476	$1.48	58%	72	Sharp
4d ago	BUY Yes	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	16.7¢	5,518	$921	58%	72	Sharp
4d ago	SELL Yes	Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	0.1¢	4,552	$4.55	58%	72	Sharp
6d ago	BUY Yes	Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	0.5¢	17.5k	$88	58%	72	Sharp
7d ago	BUY Yes	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	7.7¢	1,892	$146	58%	72	Sharp
8d ago	BUY Yes	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	90.9¢	41	$37	58%	72	Sharp
10d ago	BUY Yes	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	0.4¢	5,000	$20	58%	72	Sharp
13d ago	SELL Yes	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2¢	17.5k	$350	58%	72	Sharp
13d ago	SELL Yes	Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	0.1¢	113k	$113	58%	72	Sharp
13d ago	SELL Yes	Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	0.1¢	107k	$107	58%	72	Sharp
22d ago	SELL Yes	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1.8¢	405	$7.27	58%	72	Sharp
23d ago	BUY No	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-19?	66¢	9	$5.61	58%	72	Sharp
28d ago	BUY Yes	Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2.4¢	6	$0.15	58%	72	Sharp
28d ago	BUY Yes	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2.5¢	324	$8.10	58%	72	Sharp
28d ago	BUY Yes	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	3.6¢	1,519	$55	58%	72	Sharp
28d ago	BUY Yes	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	7.2¢	996	$72	58%	72	Sharp
32d ago	BUY Yes	Will AfD win at least 45% of all valid second votes?	5.7¢	30	$1.70	58%	72	Sharp
32d ago	SELL Yes	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2¢	1,000	$20	58%	72	Sharp
32d ago	SELL Yes	Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	0.4¢	1,145	$4.58	58%	72	Sharp