sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #10,724

sobaka.yebaka

0x613…2185
WR 70+WR 60+Sport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$23.6kvol $1.07M
PnL 30d+$700gains $221 · losses $0.14
PnL 7d−$138win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate73.9%adj 73.0% · 30d 85.7%
Open value$3,409cash n/a
Positions643 / 1,314open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age4molast trade 22d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$18.7kbelow peak −$25.4kOct 12

SharpScore inputs

36/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 73.9% · shrunk toward 50%83
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d26
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?No90229¢72.4¢$653+$391$0
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?No52072¢97.4¢$507+$132$0
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes87958.4¢34.5¢$303−$210$0
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No55437.6¢52.5¢$291+$82+$0.57
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026No27083.4¢96.7¢$261+$36−$42
Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch?No27625.6¢44¢$121+$51+$0.19
Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes1,03311.9¢11¢$114−$8.94+$21
MagicBlock FDV above $20M one day after launch?No13833.3¢73.5¢$101+$56$0
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?No14768.2¢67.5¢$99−$1.09−$18
Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026?No14146.9¢51.5¢$73+$6.42−$12
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?No7288.7¢98¢$71+$6.67$0
StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?No8366.8¢84¢$70+$14$0
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?No7874.1¢67.5¢$53−$5.16−$0.20
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?No550¢94.7¢$52+$52$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No9861.9¢47.6¢$47−$14$0
MagicBlock FDV above $300M one day after launch?No5082.5¢93¢$46+$5.20−$18
Yo FDV above $100M one day after launch?No6452¢70.5¢$45+$12−$1.32
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?No5975.6¢72.5¢$43−$1.81$0
Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?Yes12763¢31.5¢$40−$40−$10
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?$1406015.6¢65¢$39+$30$0
Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?Yes18616.9¢20¢$37+$5.75+$26
MagicBlock FDV above $10M one day after launch?No5127.9¢69.7¢$35+$21$0
Noble FDV above $300M one day after launch?No3961¢87.5¢$34+$10$0
Tori FDV above $200M one day after launch?No3664¢81.5¢$29+$6.26$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?No4959¢53.5¢$26−$2.69$0
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?No2956¢89¢$26+$9.57$0
SlingshotDAO FDV above $20M one day after launch?No4012¢59¢$24+$19$0
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes3340¢70.5¢$23+$10$0
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes4544¢42¢$19−$0.90+$1.50
SlingshotDAO FDV above $100M one day after launch?No230¢82¢$19+$19$0
Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2026?No1962.7¢84.5¢$16+$4.13$0
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?No25461¢6¢$15−$140−$4.30
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes1458.3¢98¢$14+$5.56$0
Cambria FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes8422.7¢15.5¢$13−$6.03$0
MagicBlock FDV above $100M one day after launch?No955¢83¢$7.32+$2.47$0
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes9262¢7.5¢$6.90−$50−$110
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes7220¢7.5¢$5.37−$8.95$0
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes4516.1¢9.5¢$4.28−$2.99$0
Tori FDV above $100M one day after launch?No534¢70.5¢$3.52+$1.82$0
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?No1055.9¢34¢$3.49−$2.25−$0.76
Will Spark launch a token by December 31, 2026?No458¢88¢$3.34+$1.14$0
Huddle FDV above $10M one day after launch?Yes2317¢13.5¢$3.10−$0.79$0
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?Yes3031¢8.5¢$2.55−$6.75$0
Cambria FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes940¢27.5¢$2.50−$1.14$0
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes4019¢5.5¢$2.20−$5.40$0
Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes1812¢11¢$1.98−$0.18$0
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Yes504.8¢2.8¢$1.40−$1.00$0
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $7B?Yes425.3¢15.8¢$0.63−$0.38$0
Anduril IPO before 2027?Yes2610¢2.4¢$0.62−$1.98$0
OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes1638.6¢3.2¢$0.50−$5.68$0
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B?Yes1413¢3.2¢$0.45−$1.37$0
GTA 6 launch postponed again?Yes911¢3.9¢$0.35−$0.64$0
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Argentina13.8k1.9¢0¢$0−$257−$13
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?Yes8,3872.1¢0¢$0−$173−$8.47
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceFrance7,3366.8¢0¢$0−$502−$21
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsT16,66621.7¢0¢$0−$1,443−$8.96
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?Yes6,6543.1¢0¢$0−$203−$9.84
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?Yes6,4704.8¢0¢$0−$310−$15
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5Over5,7727¢0¢$0−$406−$19
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?No5,05864.6¢0¢$0−$3,267−$58
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?Yes4,53518.3¢0¢$0−$832−$20
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5Under4,45365.5¢0¢$0−$2,917−$129
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 3.5Over4,30218.2¢0¢$0−$785−$19
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Croatia?Yes4,09713.8¢0¢$0−$565+$33
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No3,76654.8¢0¢$0−$2,063−$46
Ismael Saibari: 1+ goalsYes3,7095.4¢0¢$0−$201+$123
Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes3,70627.7¢0¢$0−$1,025+$38
Spread: Spain (-1.5)Spain3,60815.8¢0¢$0−$570−$24
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5Under3,50373.4¢0¢$0−$2,572−$19
Exact Score: France 0 - 3 England?Yes3,3151.3¢0¢$0−$43−$2.09
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?Yes3,2608¢0¢$0−$260−$6.75
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial GroupHanwha Life Esports Challengers3,23940¢0¢$0−$1,296$0
France vs. England: O/U 8.5Under3,19067.7¢0¢$0−$2,159−$0.25
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?Yes3,0914.7¢0¢$0−$144−$6.86
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Over3,06529.3¢0¢$0−$899−$17
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?Yes3,0252.8¢0¢$0−$86−$4.15
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Under2,99190¢0¢$0−$2,692−$13
Will MOUZ Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?No2,98670.9¢0¢$0−$2,117−$27
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 0 Ghana?Yes2,96416.2¢0¢$0−$481−$12
Norway vs. England: O/U 4.5Over2,7917.7¢0¢$0−$215−$9.93
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 2 WinnerG2 Esports2,73413.5¢0¢$0−$369−$9.54
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBelgium2,7095¢0¢$0−$135−$6.40
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina2,68223.3¢0¢$0−$624−$14
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 3 WinnerG2 Esports2,68121.6¢0¢$0−$578−$14
Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to AdvanceGhana2,67712¢0¢$0−$321−$8.48
Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-25?No2,67261¢0¢$0−$1,630−$32
United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceUnited States2,5468¢0¢$0−$204−$5.62
Martin Ødegaard: 1+ assistsNo2,53283.6¢0¢$0−$2,116−$17
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?Yes2,53227.3¢0¢$0−$690−$15
Spread: England (-3.5)England2,51840.6¢0¢$0−$1,022−$28
DR Congo leading at halftime?No2,51640.1¢0¢$0−$1,009−$2.17
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 France?Yes2,51615.6¢0¢$0−$392−$9.92
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Argentina2,50133¢0¢$0−$825−$17
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No2,48046.5¢0¢$0−$1,154−$30
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5Over2,47745¢0¢$0−$1,115−$31
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?No2,41075¢0¢$0−$1,807−$44
Lamine Yamal: 3+ shotsYes2,39265.1¢0¢$0−$1,558−$17
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 WinnerTeam Liquid2,2795¢0¢$0−$114−$3.25
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?Yes2,26588¢0¢$0−$1,993−$7.18
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsTop Esports2,22543.2¢0¢$0−$962+$42

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?96¢2,317$2,22474%36
SELL NoWill Abstract launch a token by December 31, 202676.5¢142$10874%36
SELL NoCambria FDV above $30M one day after launch?29¢30$8.7074%36
BUY NoWill Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?18¢20$3.6074%36
BUY NoWill Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?29¢48$1474%36
BUY NoWill Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?23¢1$0.2374%36
BUY OverGames Total: O/U 2.519¢50$9.5074%36
BUY OverGames Total: O/U 2.518¢23$4.0874%36
BUY OverGames Total: O/U 2.517¢1$0.2574%36
BUY YesWill Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?70¢100$7074%36
BUY UnderGames Total: O/U 2.576¢43$3374%36
BUY YesWill Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?57¢76$4374%36
BUY UnderGames Total: O/U 2.572¢33$2474%36
BUY YesWill Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?51¢20$1074%36
BUY VitalityCounter-Strike: Vitality vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B84¢337$28374%36
BUY QatarQatar vs. China15¢7$1.0974%36
BUY QatarQatar vs. China14¢59$8.2674%36
BUY QatarQatar vs. China14¢59$8.2674%36
BUY QatarQatar vs. China13¢52$6.7674%36
BUY QatarQatar vs. China13¢52$6.7674%36