sharpside
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Traders/Rank #249

mr.ozi

0x614…1546@MrOziPM
SharpWhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$774kvol $40.7M
PnL 30d+$172kgains $239k · losses $43.5k
PnL 7d+$72.2kwin rate 7d 75.0%
Win rate66.9%adj 66.3% · 30d 70.9%
Open value$469kcash n/a
Positions29 / 2,020open / all-time
Max drawdown−12.5%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 5h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$812kbelow peak −$1,061Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

79/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale84
Adjusted win rateraw 66.9% · shrunk toward 50%66
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity88

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 29

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No137k65.8¢63.5¢$87.1k−$3,211$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes70.0k65.1¢85.7¢$60.0k+$14.4k+$7,024
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes49.9k53.9¢71.3¢$35.6k+$8,688+$1,727
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No40.0k83¢84.5¢$33.8k+$600$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes45.0k63.2¢63.5¢$28.6k+$126$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes30.0k86¢90.5¢$27.1k+$1,350$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No30.0k76.7¢84.5¢$25.3k+$2,334−$835
Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes26.2k95.3¢95.2¢$25.0k−$32$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes27.1k82.5¢84.5¢$22.9k+$537$0
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes22.0k79¢79.5¢$17.5k+$121−$2,302
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No20.0k84¢84¢$16.8k+$0.02+$41.4k
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No16.0k86.7¢88.5¢$14.2k+$290$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No15.1k92¢90.5¢$13.7k−$227$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes22.0k63.1¢57¢$12.5k−$1,348−$509
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No19.7k62.7¢63.5¢$12.5k+$149$0
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No11.4k85.9¢86.5¢$9,883+$67$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes8,00060¢62.5¢$5,000+$200$0
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes5,56470¢71.5¢$3,978+$83$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No5,00070¢71¢$3,550+$50−$300
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes3,78885¢85.5¢$3,239+$19$0
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?No3,02568.7¢100¢$3,024+$947$0
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes2,69877¢83¢$2,240+$162+$18
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Yes5,70036.5¢33¢$1,881−$198$0
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Yes2,02491¢92.5¢$1,872+$30$0
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2,50042.2¢54¢$1,349+$294$0
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No12272¢72.5¢$88+$0.61$0
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes4694¢96.4¢$44+$1.07$0
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes5063¢61.5¢$31−$0.75$0
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes522¢25.5¢$1.32+$0.18$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?72¢59$4267%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?86¢275$23667%79Sharp
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?85¢3,788$3,22067%79Sharp
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?32¢100$3267%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?86¢2,130$1,83267%79Sharp
BUY NoSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?60¢439$26367%79Sharp
BUY NoSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?67¢1,195$80067%79Sharp
BUY NoSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?73¢530$38767%79Sharp
BUY NoSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?72.7¢861$62667%79Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?65¢9,907$6,43967%79Sharp
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?91¢2,024$1,84167%79Sharp
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?37¢4,000$1,48067%79Sharp
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?36¢1,300$46867%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?85¢1,000$85067%79Sharp
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?33¢300$9967%79Sharp
SELL YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?62¢8,000$4,96067%79Sharp
BUY YesWill Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?97¢5,445$5,28067%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?63¢5,000$3,15067%79Sharp
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?97.1¢87$8467%79Sharp
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?98.9¢1,363$1,34867%79Sharp