sharpside
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lowkey.ledgend

0x615…9940
CryptoWeatherPoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$9.20vol $36.5k
PnL 30d+$84gains $294 · losses $203
PnL 7d+$26win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate38.3%adj 39.1% · 30d 44.7%
Open value$95cash n/a
Positions2 / 360open / all-time
Max drawdown−31.1%of equity peak
Account age5molast trade 6h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$136below peak $0Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

43/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 38.3% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable85
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity69

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 2

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October?Yes10268¢70.5¢$72+$2.54+$5.07
Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?Yes10423.6¢22.6¢$23−$1.09−$8.21

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?23.6¢104$2538%43
BUY YesWill Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October?68¢102$6938%43
SELL YesWill Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?18.5¢164$3038%43
SELL YesWill Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?20.1¢18$3.5338%43
SELL YesWill Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?20.2¢30$6.0338%43
SELL YesWill Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?20.3¢100$2038%43
SELL YesWill Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?20.4¢108$2238%43
SELL YesWill Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?23¢71$1638%43
SELL YesWill Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?23.2¢550$12838%43
BUY YesWill Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?20.3¢1,041$21238%43
SELL YesWill Hong Kong have between 50-70mm of precipitation in October?0.2¢40$0.0838%43
SELL NoWill Hong Kong have between 50-70mm of precipitation in October?98.1¢13$1338%43
SELL NoWill Hong Kong have between 20-40mm of precipitation in October?99.7¢5$5.0338%43
SELL NoWill Hong Kong have between 20-40mm of precipitation in October?99.7¢6$6.0338%43
SELL NoWill Hong Kong have between 20-40mm of precipitation in October?99.7¢6$6.0338%43
SELL NoWill Hong Kong have between 20-40mm of precipitation in October?99.7¢263$26238%43
SELL NoWill Hong Kong have between 50-70mm of precipitation in October?99.9¢32$3238%43
SELL YesWill Hong Kong have 210mm or more of precipitation in October?1.6¢40$0.6438%43
SELL YesWill Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?23.3¢101$2438%43
SELL YesWill Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October?66¢99$6538%43