PnL all-time−$7,362vol $151k
PnL 30d+$1,074gains $435 · losses $9,454
PnL 7d+$1,758win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate56.3%adj 52.8% · 30d 33.3%
Open value$16.3kcash n/a
Positions2 / 19open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 15d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$1,151below peak −$1,450Oct 10
SharpScore inputs
15/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 56.3% · shrunk toward 50%32
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable43
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d47
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yesopen+$8,358Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$1,597Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? · Noclosed+$1,247Will Trump visit China by May 15? · Yesclosed+$870Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? · Yesclosed+$435
Worst markets
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed−$9,334Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yesclosed−$1,667DeepSeek V4 released by April 15? · Noclosed−$439DeepSeek V4 released by March 31? · Yesclosed−$300DeepSeek V4 released by April 15? · Yesclosed−$200
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 19.5k | 40.6¢ | 83.5¢ | $16.3k | +$8,358 | $0 | |
| Will DeepSeek IPO by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 40 | 30¢ | 12.5¢ | $5.00 | −$7.00 | $0 |
Recent trades
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