PnL all-time−$660vol $459k
PnL 30d−$548gains $480 · losses $1,051
PnL 7d−$176win rate 7d 40.9%
Win rate50.6%adj 50.6% · 30d 34.7%
Open value$2.87cash n/a
Positions1 / 259open / all-time
Max drawdown−82.1%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 21h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$594below peak −$821Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
37/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 50.6% · shrunk toward 50%27
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable80
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity18
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.1% before 2027? · Yesclosed+$125Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? · Yesclosed+$86Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? · Yesclosed+$83Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$70World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium? · Noclosed+$69
Worst markets
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.1% before 2027? · Noclosed−$136US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30? · Noclosed−$90Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yesclosed−$86Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? · Noclosed−$85Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? · Noclosed−$84
Open positions · 1
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 12, 2026? | Yes | 338 | 15.4¢ | 0.9¢ | $2.87 | −$49 | $0 |
Recent trades
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