| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 7, 2026? | Yes | 313 | 96¢ | 98¢ | $306 | +$6.23 | $0 | |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 11? | Yes | 230 | 85.1¢ | 99.2¢ | $229 | +$32 | $0 | |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 3, 2026? | Yes | 124 | 80.4¢ | 91.3¢ | $114 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 1, 2026? | Yes | 115 | 90.4¢ | 91.5¢ | $105 | +$1.22 | $0 | |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 2, 2026? | Yes | 106 | 94.5¢ | 92.6¢ | $98 | −$2.08 | $0 | |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 8, 2026? | No | 128 | 64.8¢ | 49.5¢ | $63 | −$20 | $0 | |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 6, 2026? | Yes | 84 | 85.4¢ | 71.4¢ | $60 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 6? | Yes | 180 | 28.1¢ | 22.5¢ | $40 | −$10 | $0 | |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 11, 2026? | Yes | 40 | 87.1¢ | 89.8¢ | $36 | +$1.11 | −$1.00 | |
| Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 71 | 42.4¢ | 32.5¢ | $23 | −$6.98 | $0 | |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 29, 2026? | Yes | 20 | 66¢ | 90.5¢ | $18 | +$4.90 | $0 | |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 22? | Yes | 20 | 49¢ | 81¢ | $16 | +$6.30 | $0 | |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 12? | Yes | 20 | 40¢ | 72¢ | $14 | +$6.40 | $0 | |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 20? | No | 24 | 12.8¢ | 39.5¢ | $9.35 | +$6.31 | $0 | |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 16? | Yes | 20 | 38¢ | 39¢ | $7.80 | +$0.20 | $0 | |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 15 | 65¢ | 46¢ | $6.90 | −$2.85 | $0 | |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | 35¢ | 6.6¢ | $1.31 | −$5.69 | $0 | |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27? | No | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | +$0.07 | |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | No | 500 | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.03 | |
| Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? | No | 500 | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.05 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 29, 2026? | No | 404 | 3.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$14 | −$0.48 | |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by August 31? | Yes | 253 | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.04 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? | Yes | 174 | 2.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.00 | $0 | |
| Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24? | Yes | 154 | 2.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.27 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 104 | 77.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$80 | −$12 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? | Yes | 100 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$26 | |
| Will Trump say "Hottest" during remarks in New York? | No | 83 | 18¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | −$0.49 | |
| Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17? | Yes | 81 | 3.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.00 | −$0.85 | |
| Will Trump say "Save America Act" during his rally with Darline Graham? | No | 78 | 9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7.00 | −$0.25 | |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 5? | Up | 76 | 2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.52 | $0 | |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 960m and 970m by September 30? | Yes | 67 | 1.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.05 | |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? | Yes | 50 | 2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 22, 2026? | No | 50 | 2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.04 | |
| Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24? | Yes | 44 | 6.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.98 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Team" 15+ times during Team USA reception? | No | 40 | 20¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8.00 | $0 | |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 39 | 39.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$16 | −$0.41 | |
| Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17? | Yes | 39 | 5.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.04 | −$1.04 | |
| Will Trump say "Hell" during his Midterm Rally in Alabama? | No | 38 | 2.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.79 | −$0.03 | |
| Will Trump say "Border" 10+ times during his rally with Darline Graham? | No | 37 | 19¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7.00 | −$0.19 | |
| Will Trump's remarks not air? | Yes | 36 | 2.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.04 | |
| Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 15, 2026? | No | 29 | 48.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$14 | $0 | |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13? | Yes | 25 | 12.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.09 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Depression" during his Midterm Rally in New York? | No | 21 | 11.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.48 | −$0.09 | |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026? | Yes | 21 | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.08 | $0 | |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17? | Yes | 21 | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.66 | +$54 | |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 5, 2026? | No | 20 | 5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? | Yes | 19 | 3.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.62 | −$0.51 | |
| Will Trump say "Million", "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska? | No | 18 | 12¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.20 | −$0.08 | |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | No | 18 | 6.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.22 | +$0.85 | |
| Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during July Press Conference? | No | 18 | 56.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | −$0.17 | |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 21? | Up | 17 | 5.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.04 | |
| Will Trump say "Fake News" during his Midterm Rally in Alabama? | No | 16 | 5.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.87 | −$0.03 | |
| Will Trump's Las Vegas remarks be between 30 and 40 minutes long? | Yes | 15 | 6.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.05 | |
| Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | No | 15 | 2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.30 | $0 | |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 940m by September 30? | Yes | 15 | 0.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.10 | −$0.01 | |
| Will Netanyahu say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | No | 15 | 13.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.00 | −$0.07 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 17, 2026? | No | 15 | 13.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.00 | −$0.07 | |
| Will Trump say "China" during Friday roundtable? | No | 14 | 7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.04 | |
| Will Trump say "No Tax" during events in Rockland County? | No | 14 | 7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.04 | |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | No | 13 | 58.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7.75 | −$0.13 | |
| Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m? | Yes | 13 | 33.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.41 | −$0.85 | |
| Will Trump say "MAGA / Make America Great Again" during his rally with Darline Graham? | No | 13 | 8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.04 | |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22? | Up | 12 | 10.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.24 | −$0.04 | |
| Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by September 30? | Yes | 12 | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.22 | −$0.01 | |
| Will Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during his Midterm Rally in Alabama? | No | 11 | 9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.01 | −$0.04 | |
| Will JD Vance say "Illegal Alien" during his remarks in Sterling Heights? | No | 11 | 22¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.46 | −$0.08 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 4, 2026? | No | 10 | 9.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.04 | |
| Will Trump say "Crazy" during his remarks in North Carolina? | No | 10 | 29.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.00 | −$0.08 | |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Alabama? | No | 10 | 60¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6.00 | −$0.10 | |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 5? | Yes | 10 | 0.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.09 | $0 | |
| Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections? | Yes | 10 | 1.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.16 | −$0.01 | |
| Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | No | 9 | 11¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.04 | |
| Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during Coast Guard event? | No | 9 | 44.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.00 | −$0.08 | |
| Will Trump say "Tariff" 7+ times during Pennsylvania events? | No | 9 | 15.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.35 | −$0.03 | |
| Will Trump say "Job" 7+ times during events in Rockland County? | No | 8 | 12¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.04 | |
| Will Trump say "Hottest" during June 24 Rally? | No | 8 | 5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.40 | −$0.02 | |
| Will Trump say "1776" during his Midterm Rally in New York? | No | 7 | 12.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.92 | −$0.03 | |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? | Yes | 7 | 14.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.03 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026? | Yes | 7 | 15.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.03 | |
| Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during his rally with Darline Graham? | No | 6 | 16¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.03 | |
| Will Trump say "Oil," "Gas," or "Gasoline" during remarks in New York? | No | 6 | 17¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.03 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 8, 2026? | No | 5 | 22¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.20 | −$0.04 | |
| Will Trump say "Fake News" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference? | No | 5 | 12¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.60 | −$0.02 | |
| Will Netanyahu say "Yemen" or "Houthis" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | No | 5 | 21¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.03 | |
| Will JD Vance say "ID" or "Identification" during his remarks in Iowa? | Yes | 5 | 21¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.03 | |
| Will Trump say "Hottest" 2+ times during his rally with Darline Graham? | No | 5 | 22¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.03 | |
| Will Trump say "Venezuela" during June 24 Rally? | No | 4 | 23¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.03 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | Up | 4 | 24¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.05 | |
| Will Trump say "Border" 5+ times during events in Rockland County? | No | 4 | 25¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.03 | |
| Will Andy Burnham say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during the next PMQ? | Yes | 4 | 49.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.96 | −$0.04 | |
| Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m? | No | 4 | 27.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.04 | |
| Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/18-5/24) | Yes | 3 | 30¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.03 | |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" during remarks in New York? | No | 3 | 30¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.03 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | Down | 3 | 61.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.00 | −$0.05 | |
| Will Vance say "Marine" during Air Force Academy Address? | No | 3 | 31¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.03 | |
| Will Trump say "Favored Nation" during events in Rockland County? | No | 3 | 32.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.03 | |
| Will Starmer say "Thank" 5+ times during the next PMQ? | No | 3 | 15¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.44 | −$0.02 | |
| Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" 3+ times during his remarks at the Andrew W. Mellon Auditorium? | No | 3 | 34¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.03 | |
| Will Trump's Las Vegas remarks be between 50 and 60 minutes long? | Yes | 3 | 37¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.03 | |
| Will Trump say "Trump" 5+ times during remarks in Georgia? | No | 3 | 38¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.02 | |