sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,073

Geminae.Columbae

0x61e…bbf7
1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$8,319vol $1.72M
PnL 30d−$13.3kgains $5.45 · losses $1,395
PnL 7d+$2,852win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate33.3%adj 36.2% · 30d 33.3%
Open value$24.5kcash n/a
Positions12 / 108open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$2,489below peak −$21.5kOct 10

SharpScore inputs

38/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale56
Adjusted win rateraw 33.3% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable68
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? · Yesclosed+$12.1kStarmer out by June 30, 2026? · Yesclosed+$10.2kUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15? · Yesclosed+$8,660Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesopen+$6,270US forces enter Iran by April 30? · Yesclosed+$5,953

Worst markets

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesopen−$10.7kUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$10.0kRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? · Yesclosed−$8,612US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? · Yesclosed−$6,238Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$6,087

Open positions · 12

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes10.8k30.6¢88.6¢$9,574+$6,270$0
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes12.1k47.2¢37.5¢$4,537−$1,173$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes15.2k34.5¢26¢$3,947−$1,286$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes5,00031¢29.5¢$1,475−$75$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes1,60054¢83.5¢$1,336+$472$0
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes58.1k1.5¢2.1¢$1,191+$304$0
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes9,55456.5¢11¢$1,051−$4,343$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes4,40024¢15.5¢$682−$375−$420
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes3,2009.5¢18¢$574+$270$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes6660¢19.1¢$127+$127$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes23.2k38.6¢0¢$0−$8,946−$1,710
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes9,77826¢0¢$0−$2,541−$35

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?48.4¢5,400$2,61433%38
BUY YesWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?36¢1,700$61233%38
SELL YesWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?37¢1,700$62933%38
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?54¢1,600$86433%38
BUY Yes2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House31¢5,000$1,55033%38
SELL YesClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?5¢59.4k$2,96833%38
SELL YesClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?15¢1,913$28733%38
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?13¢200$2633%38
BUY YesWill Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1.7¢105$1.7833%38
BUY YesClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?31¢2,200$68233%38
BUY YesRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?24¢4,300$1,03233%38
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?20¢3,000$60033%38
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?20¢6,000$1,20033%38
BUY YesClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?18¢1,391$25033%38
SELL YesWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?87¢2,123$1,84733%38
BUY YesRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?25¢100$2533%38
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?50¢100$5033%38
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?49¢800$39233%38
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?43¢1,400$60233%38
SELL YesWill the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?18¢1,000$18033%38