sharpside
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Traders/Rank #7,531

Npf1

0x623…1852
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsCryptoOtherCultureSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$357vol $66.4k
PnL 30d+$20gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$1.79win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate87.1%adj 85.6% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$1,092cash n/a
Positions180 / 680open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.8ylast trade 1mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$247below peak −$875Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

40/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 87.1% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable94
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?No33076.1¢95.5¢$315+$64$0
Will Waymo launch in London, UK by December 31 2026?No20789.4¢96.4¢$199+$14$0
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No5191.7¢97.4¢$50+$2.92$0
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?No5095¢98.9¢$49+$1.93+$1.41
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?No4191¢98.5¢$40+$3.05$0
Human moon landing in 2026?No4094¢98.9¢$40+$1.94$0
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?No4088¢98.1¢$39+$4.04$0
Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?No4074.8¢95.1¢$38+$8.05$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No4370¢82.5¢$35+$5.38$0
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?No3384¢98.9¢$33+$4.90$0
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No2784¢94.5¢$26+$2.83$0
Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026?No2092¢97.9¢$20+$1.18$0
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?No2075.5¢97.1¢$19+$4.31$0
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?No2083¢96¢$19+$2.60$0
Will Frank Ocean have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?No2194.8¢90.9¢$19−$0.81$0
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?No2087¢93.5¢$19+$1.30$0
Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026?No2085¢92.5¢$19+$1.50$0
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?No1886¢93¢$17+$1.26$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No2070¢77.8¢$16+$1.55$0
Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?No1880.8¢87¢$15+$1.10$0
Will Pudgy Penguins floor price reach 10 ETH before 2027?No1386¢92.5¢$12+$0.84$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes1179¢90.5¢$9.96+$1.26$0
US strike on Colombia by December 31?No1080¢77.5¢$7.75−$0.25$0
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes5063.8¢14.1¢$7.05−$25$0
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No1054¢59.5¢$5.95+$0.55$0
Will Tom Cotton be the next Senate Majority Leader?No691.1¢94.5¢$5.57+$0.20$0
Will Mariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?No14414.4¢3.4¢$4.82−$16−$3.98
Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Yes963¢53.5¢$4.69−$0.83$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2836¢15.5¢$4.33−$5.75$0
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?Yes2025¢10.5¢$2.10−$2.90$0
Will Kanye West have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Yes298.1¢2.9¢$0.87−$1.52$0
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?Yes207¢3.5¢$0.69−$0.71$0
Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 4 weeks or more?No7,5362.2¢0¢$0−$168−$6.45
Will Meta have the top AI model on August 31?Yes1,2040.2¢0¢$0−$2.41+$0.59
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $4900 on August 14 at 5PM ET?Yes1,0830.3¢0¢$0−$3.00$0
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on August 31?Yes7800.5¢0¢$0−$3.90+$5.98
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No69877¢0¢$0−$537+$3.37
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,400 and $3,500 on November 14?Yes4520.4¢0¢$0−$1.69$0
Will "Pretty Woman" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Yes2681¢0¢$0−$2.69−$0.08
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?Yes2500.2¢0¢$0−$0.50+$0.50
France vs. England: Team to WinFrance22016.2¢0¢$0−$36+$26
Will "Jennifer's Body" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Yes2000.5¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.03
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes2000.5¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will "The Proposal" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Yes2000.9¢0¢$0−$1.75+$1.08
Will Justin Bieber feature Bad Bunny during his Coachella performances?Yes1501.3¢0¢$0−$2.00$0
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?No14928¢0¢$0−$42+$17
Will "Mother's Day" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Yes1453¢0¢$0−$4.31+$0.46
Will France win on 2026-07-18?Yes1414¢0¢$0−$5.63+$17
Will "Black Phone 2" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Yes1242.5¢0¢$0−$3.04−$0.09
Will "Home" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Yes1242¢0¢$0−$2.43−$0.05
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?No12257.1¢0¢$0−$69−$0.76
England vs. DR Congo: Team to AdvanceDR Congo1176.9¢0¢$0−$8.00−$0.19
Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?Yes1041.6¢0¢$0−$1.64+$27
Will "Swapped" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Yes1001.6¢0¢$0−$1.55+$0.85
Will A Minecraft Movie be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?Yes1001¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Avatar 3 be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?Yes983.6¢0¢$0−$3.53$0
Hyperlend FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes972.4¢0¢$0−$2.28$0
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4300 and $4400 on August 13 at 5PM ET?Yes900.6¢0¢$0−$0.54$0
Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?Avatar851.2¢0¢$0−$1.02$0
Will Trump visit China by May 31?No845.7¢0¢$0−$4.79−$0.18
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?Yes7213.3¢0¢$0−$9.55−$0.22
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 9?Yes683.3¢0¢$0−$2.20$0
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?Yes6556¢0¢$0−$36$0
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No631.6¢0¢$0−$1.01$0
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes541.9¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes504.2¢0¢$0−$2.10$0
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?Yes5028.1¢0¢$0−$14$0
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on December 9?Yes501.1¢0¢$0−$0.55$0
Enhanced Games: Fred Kerley 100m Sprint Time Under 9.76?Yes507¢0¢$0−$3.50$0
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in January?Yes5010¢0¢$0−$5.00$0
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes501.1¢0¢$0−$0.55+$1.80
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?Yes508.1¢0¢$0−$4.05+$0.10
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by December 31, 2026?No5050¢0¢$0−$25$0
Will Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?Yes504.5¢0¢$0−$2.25$0
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?Yes4834¢0¢$0−$16−$0.37
Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceNorway4820.7¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.37
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceFrance4643.6¢0¢$0−$20−$0.49
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No4535¢0¢$0−$16−$10
Was Kanye hacked?Yes451.2¢0¢$0−$0.54$0
Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceMexico4346.9¢0¢$0−$20−$0.32
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in August?No4048¢0¢$0−$19$0
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?Yes405¢0¢$0−$2.00−$0.10
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on August 17 at 5PM ET?No3818.9¢0¢$0−$7.11−$8.90
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?Yes371.5¢0¢$0−$0.56+$0.07
Will "Iceman - Drake" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of June 20?No377.8¢0¢$0−$2.88−$0.08
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?Yes3626.4¢0¢$0−$9.49−$5.39
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?Yes333.1¢0¢$0−$1.02$0
Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?No3090¢0¢$0−$27$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Yes303.8¢0¢$0−$1.14$0
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?Yes3053.7¢0¢$0−$16$0
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes3092.7¢0¢$0−$28−$0.04
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes3011¢0¢$0−$3.30+$3.07
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5Over2876.1¢0¢$0−$22−$0.07
Will The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift be the #1 song on Spotify this week?No2827.4¢0¢$0−$7.75$0
Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes2817.7¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.21
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes2853.4¢0¢$0−$15−$0.34
Weed rescheduled in 2025?Yes273.7¢0¢$0−$0.97+$0.09
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik SinnerSinner2619¢0¢$0−$5.00$0
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?No2644.9¢0¢$0−$12$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes2636¢0¢$0−$9.36$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Waymo launch in London, UK by December 31 2026?93.5¢107$10087%40
BUY NoWill OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?79¢95$7587%40
BUY ArgentinaSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance7.7¢13$1.0087%40
BUY YesSpain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?62¢16$1087%40
BUY YesSpain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?41¢7$3.0087%40
BUY YesSpain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?43¢5$2.0087%40
BUY SpainSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance74.7¢13$1087%40
BUY YesExact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?5¢40$2.0087%40
BUY YesSpain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?57.3¢17$1087%40
SELL FranceFrance vs. England: Team to Win30¢220$6687%40
SELL YesWill France win on 2026-07-18?13¢141$1887%40
SELL YesWill France win on 2026-07-18?10.4¢94$9.7587%40
BUY FranceFrance vs. England: Team to Win3.7¢310$1187%40
BUY YesWill France win on 2026-07-18?1.4¢357$5.0087%40
BUY FranceFrance vs. England: Team to Win29¢69$2087%40
BUY FranceFrance vs. England: Team to Win56¢18$1087%40
BUY FranceFrance vs. England: Team to Win69¢14$1087%40
BUY YesWill France win on 2026-07-18?56¢18$1087%40
BUY FranceFrance vs. England: Team to Win69¢29$2087%40
BUY YesWill France win on 2026-07-14?17.7¢28$5.0087%40