PnL all-time+$181vol $22.2k
PnL 30d−$61gains $136 · losses $151
PnL 7d−$182win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate79.5%adj 75.0% · 30d 85.7%
Open value$1,360cash n/a
Positions10 / 141open / all-time
Max drawdown−17.4%of equity peak
Account age5molast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$119below peak −$174Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
69/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale32
Adjusted win rateraw 79.5% · shrunk toward 50%88
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable72
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity83
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 7? · Yesclosed+$83Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yesclosed+$82Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yesclosed+$71Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August? · Noclosed+$63Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yesopen+$55
Worst markets
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in September? · Yesclosed−$151Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 9? · Noclosed−$64Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 7? · Yesopen−$57Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? · Yesopen−$57Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 7? · Noclosed−$51
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? | Yes | 885 | 86.5¢ | 80¢ | $708 | −$57 | $0 | |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 487 | 61.6¢ | 61¢ | $297 | −$2.87 | $0 | |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 445 | 53.1¢ | 65.5¢ | $292 | +$55 | $0 | |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 81 | 81¢ | 77.5¢ | $63 | −$2.81 | +$22 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 12? | Yes | 131 | 7.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10 | −$0.40 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 9? | Yes | 76 | 13.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | −$0.43 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 7? | Yes | 20 | 24.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.82 | −$53 | |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 12? | No | 16 | 70¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$11 | −$0.16 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 13? | Yes | 8 | 52¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.16 | −$0.10 | |
| Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 9? | Yes | 5 | 7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.35 | $0 |
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