PnL all-time+$65vol $118k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate57.6%adj 54.7% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$152cash n/a
Positions1 / 55open / all-time
Max drawdown−1.0%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 3mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$65below peak $0Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
38/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale26
Adjusted win rateraw 57.6% · shrunk toward 50%37
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable58
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity99
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026? · Yesopen+$32US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? · Yesclosed+$28US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · Noclosed+$13Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? · Noclosed+$4.38US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yesclosed+$2.10
Worst markets
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · Yesclosed−$8.20US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · Yesclosed−$4.96US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · Noclosed−$2.18Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yesclosed−$2.16US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? · Yesclosed−$1.71
Open positions · 1
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 152 | 79¢ | 100¢ | $152 | +$32 | $0 |
Recent trades
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