sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #749

eCash

0x62c…5826
WhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$268kvol $9.78M
PnL 30d+$53.6kgains $61.7k · losses $13.1k
PnL 7d+$6,636win rate 7d 87.5%
Win rate73.6%adj 72.7% · 30d 76.9%
Open value$400kcash n/a
Positions68 / 611open / all-time
Max drawdown−95.4%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 18h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$306kbelow peak $0Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

61/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale78
Adjusted win rateraw 73.6% · shrunk toward 50%82
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable93
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity5

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31? · Yesclosed+$39.5kLord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? · Noclosed+$31.4kIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? · Yesclosed+$28.1kWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Noopen+$26.0kWill Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025? · Noclosed+$22.8k

Worst markets

Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025? · Noclosed−$183kLord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? · Yesclosed−$53.6kWill Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? · Yesclosed−$26.1kWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yesopen−$26.0kIsrael x Iran ceasefire before July? · Noclosed−$25.8k

Open positions · 68

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No84.0k50¢81¢$68.0k+$26.0k$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No66.4k80¢84.5¢$56.1k+$3,008+$9,154
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No44.3k87.9¢93¢$41.2k+$2,276$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No40.2k79.5¢95.5¢$38.4k+$6,427$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No26.2k87.8¢97.5¢$25.5k+$2,531$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No29.2k78.6¢85.5¢$24.9k+$2,015$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No26.0k76.4¢82.5¢$21.4k+$1,590$0
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No19.6k78.3¢89¢$17.5k+$2,111$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes84.0k50¢19.1¢$16.0k−$26.0k$0
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes13.0k93¢95.5¢$12.4k+$326$0
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No10.7k87.2¢96.7¢$10.4k+$1,022$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes8,76280.8¢85.5¢$7,492+$408+$1,716
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No7,28076.6¢96.9¢$7,051+$1,476$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No10,00064¢64.5¢$6,450+$50$0
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No6,00092.7¢93.5¢$5,610+$50$0
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Yes7,00073.3¢72.5¢$5,075−$55$0
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Yes9,00053.1¢53.5¢$4,815+$38−$178
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No7,10451.7¢67.5¢$4,795+$1,125$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Yes6,74362.8¢63¢$4,248+$12$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No7,00652.5¢60.5¢$4,239+$564$0
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No2,83182.7¢82.7¢$2,339−$1.25$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes4,00060.7¢57.5¢$2,300−$130$0
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?No2,48651¢89.5¢$2,225+$957$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Yes2,00070¢71.5¢$1,430+$30$0
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?No5,72836.7¢22.5¢$1,286−$815$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Yes1,00093¢95.5¢$955+$25$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No1,00085¢92.5¢$925+$75$0
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Yes1,65056.6¢52¢$858−$75$0
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?No79747.6¢98.9¢$788+$408$0
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?No2,00077¢33.5¢$670−$870$0
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Yes1,00068.1¢65.5¢$655−$26$0
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes1,10850¢53¢$587+$33$0
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No1,10053.8¢53¢$583−$9.00$0
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes2,33629.8¢18¢$421−$276−$18
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes75349¢55.5¢$418+$49+$127
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?No1,00013¢40.5¢$405+$275$0
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Yes50046¢49¢$245+$15$0
Will US annex any territory in 2026?No23785.8¢96.2¢$228+$24$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?No26974¢77.5¢$208+$9.41$0
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15?No20075¢94¢$188+$38$0
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Yes77435.8¢24¢$186−$91+$29
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?No22342¢81.5¢$182+$88$0
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?No23721¢51.5¢$122+$72$0
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?No15030¢56¢$84+$39$0
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?Yes1,99831¢2.9¢$57−$562$0
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?No90016.1¢5.7¢$51−$94$0
Clavicular convicted of rape?No3673¢85.5¢$31+$4.51+$2.31
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes2571¢75.5¢$19+$1.14$0
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Yes4035¢39¢$16+$1.60$0
Will the Bitcoin halving occur by June 30, 2028?Yes885¢91¢$7.01+$0.46$0
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?No282¢95.5¢$1.45+$0.21$0
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?No39.4k34.9¢0¢$0−$13.7k$0
Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?Yes13.7k36.4¢0¢$0−$4,994+$21
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?No11.7k24.6¢0¢$0−$2,876$0
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?Yes9,95123.6¢0¢$0−$2,348−$39
Will Bilibili Gaming make a roster change before July?Yes5,00050¢0¢$0−$2,500$0
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?Yes4,31412.5¢0¢$0−$541$0
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes2,3104.2¢0¢$0−$96$0
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?No2,13570.2¢0¢$0−$1,498−$1,038
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?Yes2,00010¢0¢$0−$200−$6.30
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No1,96618.3¢0¢$0−$359$0
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m?Yes1,8291¢0¢$0−$19−$0.01
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes1,06789.2¢0¢$0−$952$0
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?No1,00013.5¢0¢$0−$135$0
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes50012.8¢0¢$0−$64$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?No50069¢0¢$0−$345$0
Will Jungleman win at Hustler Casino on Friday?Yes853¢0¢$0−$4.12−$0.19
Will Warsh say "Trump" during swearing-in?Yes885¢0¢$0−$6.59$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?71¢25$1874%61
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?79¢395$31274%61
BUY YesSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by November 30?93¢10$9.3074%61
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?86¢713$61374%61
SELL NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?77¢435$33574%61
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?87¢4,266$3,71174%61
SELL NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?77¢1,450$1,11774%61
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?89¢20.0k$17.8k74%61Whale
SELL NoSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?37.4¢710$26574%61
SELL NoSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?37.9¢90$3474%61
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?80¢697$55874%61
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?79¢437$34574%61
SELL YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?89¢149$13374%61
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?84¢149$12574%61
BUY NoNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?57¢108$6274%61
BUY NoSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?67¢1,261$84574%61
BUY NoSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?41¢989$40574%61
BUY NoSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?38.9¢1,173$45774%61
BUY NoSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?56¢1,657$92874%61
SELL YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?91¢895$81474%61