PnL all-time−$472vol $30.2k
PnL 30d−$0.97gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$0.01win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate68.6%adj 61.8% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$1,230cash n/a
Positions9 / 44open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 6mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
Not enough history to draw an equity curve.
SharpScore inputs
27/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 68.6% · shrunk toward 50%54
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable55
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? · Noclosed+$202US forces enter Iran by March 31? · Noclosed+$149Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? · Noopen+$116Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Noopen+$92Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? · Yesclosed+$41
Worst markets
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026? | Yes | 420 | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | $420 | +$9.89 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | No | 275 | 59.2¢ | 100¢ | $275 | +$112 | +$3.85 | |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | No | 219 | 91.4¢ | 100¢ | $219 | +$19 | −$0.17 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 216 | 79.8¢ | 100¢ | $216 | +$44 | +$49 | |
| Epstein client list released by June 30? | No | 85 | 89.5¢ | 100¢ | $85 | +$8.87 | +$0.83 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 95 | 33¢ | 15.5¢ | $15 | −$17 | $0 |
Recent trades
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