PnL all-time+$2,472vol $71.7k
PnL 30d+$540gains $525 · losses $65
PnL 7d+$81win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate68.0%adj 60.0% · 30d 80.0%
Open value$4,485cash n/a
Positions8 / 33open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 13d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$3,301below peak −$157Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
30/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale48
Adjusted win rateraw 68.0% · shrunk toward 50%50
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable51
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d56
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026 · Yesclosed+$5,926Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026 · Yesclosed+$1,355Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026 · Noclosed+$663Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30? · Noclosed+$637Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026 · Yesclosed+$477
Worst markets
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026 · Yesopen−$4,799Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026 · Noclosed−$1,163Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026 · Yesclosed−$686Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026 · Yesclosed−$250Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? · Yesclosed−$246
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? | No | 3,286 | 70.8¢ | 81.5¢ | $2,678 | +$353 | $0 | |
| Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31? | No | 1,024 | 77.9¢ | 88.5¢ | $906 | +$109 | $0 | |
| Tesla Roadster delivered by December 31, 2027? | No | 902 | 58.4¢ | 67.5¢ | $609 | +$82 | $0 | |
| Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? | No | 309 | 80.7¢ | 94.5¢ | $292 | +$43 | $0 | |
| Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026 | Yes | 4,156 | 78¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,243 | −$1,556 | |
| Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries? | Yes | 1,784 | 1.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21 | $0 | |
| Will SpaceX file for an IPO by April 3, 2026? | No | 325 | 65.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$212 | $0 | |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 19 | 54¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | −$0.14 |
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