PnL all-time+$33.8kvol $2.96M
PnL 30d+$45.1kgains $8,302 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$11.8kwin rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate53.8%adj 53.2% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$99.7kcash n/a
Positions11 / 115open / all-time
Max drawdown−34.4%of equity peak
Account age1.0ylast trade 23d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$74.6kbelow peak $0Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
51/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale65
Adjusted win rateraw 53.8% · shrunk toward 50%33
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable69
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d20
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity66
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yesopen+$38.0kWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$14.9kWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? · Yesclosed+$12.7kWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$11.5kNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$7,581
Worst markets
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$8,875Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? · Yesopen−$8,323Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Yesclosed−$4,777TikTok sale announced in 2025? · Noclosed−$3,462Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? · Yesclosed−$3,101
Open positions · 11
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 118k | 52.3¢ | 84.5¢ | $99.7k | +$38.0k | $0 | |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | Yes | 72.4k | 11.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8,323 | $0 | |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Yes | 3,000 | 10.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$320 | $0 | |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | Yes | 3,000 | 8.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$268 | $0 | |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | Yes | 2,446 | 4.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$4.80 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | Up | 1,277 | 35.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$450 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | Up | 692 | 28.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$200 | $0 | |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | No | 500 | 23¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$115 | +$170 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET | Down | 300 | 34¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$102 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | Down | 299 | 16.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$48 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET | Down | 200 | 46¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$92 | $0 |
Recent trades
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