PnL all-time−$938vol $7,509
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate90.9%adj 64.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$139cash n/a
Positions12 / 23open / all-time
Max drawdown−0.2%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 6mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$938below peak −$2.21Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
17/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 90.9% · shrunk toward 50%61
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable45
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 20? · Downclosed+$79Ethereum Up or Down - March 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET · Downclosed+$17Solana Up or Down - March 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET · Upclosed+$16Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET · Upclosed+$15Solana Up or Down - March 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET · Upclosed+$14
Worst markets
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? · Yesclosed−$1,023Solana Up or Down - March 28, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET · Downopen−$25Solana Up or Down - March 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET · Upopen−$17XRP Up or Down - March 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET · Downopen−$11Solana Up or Down - March 29, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET · Downopen−$10
Open positions · 12
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana reach $130 in March? | No | 118 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $118 | +$0.12 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on March 29? | No | 16 | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $16 | +$0.03 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | 5 | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | $5.48 | +$0.14 | +$2.23 | |
| Solana Up or Down - March 28, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET | Down | 55 | 45¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$25 | $0 | |
| Solana Up or Down - March 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | Up | 33 | 53¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$17 | $0 | |
| XRP Up or Down - March 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | Down | 21 | 50¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Solana Up or Down - March 29, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | Down | 20 | 50¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | Down | 19 | 44¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8.36 | $0 | |
| XRP Up or Down - March 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET | Down | 16 | 47¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7.52 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET | Down | 16 | 49¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7.84 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET | Down | 15 | 42¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6.30 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | Up | 8 | 42¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.36 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s
| Time | Side | Market | Price | Shares | Value | Trader WR | Sharp | Flags | Transaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUY No | Will Solana reach $130 in March? | 99.9¢ | 118 | $118 | 91% | 17 | |||
| BUY No | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C or below on March 29? | 99.9¢ | 95 | $95 | 91% | 17 | |||
| BUY No | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on March 29? | 99.8¢ | 16 | $16 | 91% | 17 | |||
| SELL Yes | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | 99.1¢ | 131 | $130 | 91% | 17 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | 97.4¢ | 137 | $133 | 91% | 17 | |||
| SELL Yes | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | 9.3¢ | 1,432 | $133 | 91% | 17 | |||
| BUY Down | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 20? | 94¢ | 600 | $564 | 91% | 17 |