PnL all-time+$138kvol $566k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate57.8%adj 57.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$1,111cash n/a
Positions5 / 505open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age5.7ylast trade 1y ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$144kbelow peak $0Oct 8
SharpScore inputs
69/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale73
Adjusted win rateraw 57.8% · shrunk toward 50%44
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable90
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021? · Yesclosed+$14.0kWhich party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? · Democraticclosed+$8,949Will Biden finish his term? · Yesopen+$7,146Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021? · Noclosed+$2,539UFC 276: Who will win - Volkanovski vs Holloway · Hollowayclosed+$2,253
Worst markets
[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? · Noclosed−$15.3kWhich party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? · Republicanclosed−$6,867Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6, 2023? · Noclosed−$3,794UFC 276: Who will win - Volkanovski vs Holloway · Volkanovskiclosed−$2,181Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election? · Yesopen−$1,691
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a Democrat win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election? | No | 1,000 | 86¢ | 100¢ | $1,000 | +$140 | $0 | |
| Will Biden finish his term? | Yes | 111 | 54.4¢ | 100¢ | $111 | +$51 | +$7,095 | |
| Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election? | Yes | 3,637 | 50¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,819 | +$127 | |
| Will Milton make landfall as a category 2 or lower? | Yes | 1,000 | 12¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$120 | +$293 | |
| Will Kamala lead in RCP by 3 or more on Sept 27? | Yes | 500 | 10¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | $0 |
Recent trades
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