PnL all-time+$205vol $31.4k
PnL 30d−$399gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$460win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate100.0%adj 61.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$1,494cash n/a
Positions13 / 19open / all-time
Max drawdown−26.9%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 5mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$286below peak −$25Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
23/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale33
Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%54
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable43
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity73
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? · Yesopen−$108Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yesopen−$100Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · Yesopen−$81Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April? · Noopen−$50Trump out as President before 2027? · Yesopen−$24
Open positions · 13
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 450 | 72¢ | 100¢ | $450 | +$126 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 400 | 84¢ | 90.5¢ | $362 | +$26 | $0 | |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 200 | 10¢ | 100¢ | $200 | +$180 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 250 | 31¢ | 64.5¢ | $161 | +$84 | $0 | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 200 | 73¢ | 77.9¢ | $156 | +$9.70 | $0 | |
| Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31? | No | 150 | 83¢ | 100¢ | $150 | +$26 | −$0.85 | |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 500 | 3.7¢ | 1.7¢ | $8.25 | −$10 | $0 | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 180 | 17¢ | 3.9¢ | $6.93 | −$24 | $0 | |
| Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April? | No | 25.0k | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | $0 | |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1,639 | 6.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | $0 | |
| Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | 600 | 13.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$81 | $0 | |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | Yes | 400 | 27¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$108 | $0 | |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | Yes | 92 | 21.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | $0 |
Recent trades
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