PnL all-time+$15.0kvol $1.72M
PnL 30d+$391gains $1,589 · losses $46
PnL 7d+$606win rate 7d 60.0%
Win rate71.7%adj 70.8% · 30d 75.0%
Open value$19.0kcash n/a
Positions5 / 444open / all-time
Max drawdown−19.4%of equity peak
Account age1.4ylast trade 24d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$15.3kbelow peak −$1,175Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
68/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale60
Adjusted win rateraw 71.7% · shrunk toward 50%77
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable88
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d19
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity81
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election? · Noclosed+$4,382Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$3,756Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed+$2,050Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$1,417Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Spainclosed+$1,025
Worst markets
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? · Noclosed−$5,547Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$760Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed−$699Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025? · Yesclosed−$470MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025? · Yesclosed−$261
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 9,890 | 89.4¢ | 87.5¢ | $8,654 | −$185 | −$3.95 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 6,642 | 95.8¢ | 96.2¢ | $6,387 | +$26 | +$118 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,043 | 97.3¢ | 97.3¢ | $1,987 | −$0.97 | +$15 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,000 | 97.8¢ | 97.8¢ | $1,955 | −$1.00 | +$4.75 | |
| Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 12.8k | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $6.38 | −$19 | +$5.91 |
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