| Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week? | No | 2,434 | 69.9¢ | 98¢ | $2,385 | +$684 | +$533 | |
| Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime? | No | 2,500 | 63.2¢ | 71.5¢ | $1,788 | +$208 | $0 | |
| Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | Yes | 725 | 74.3¢ | 95¢ | $689 | +$150 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 723 | 61.4¢ | 87.1¢ | $629 | +$186 | +$698 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 609 | 69¢ | 85.5¢ | $521 | +$100 | $0 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 769 | 40.3¢ | 42.5¢ | $327 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? | No | 337 | 64.6¢ | 85¢ | $286 | +$69 | $0 | |
| Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by October 31? | Yes | 242 | 86¢ | 99.8¢ | $241 | +$33 | $0 | |
| Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV by October 31? | Yes | 294 | 4.4¢ | 49.6¢ | $146 | +$133 | $0 | |
| Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz by October 31? | Yes | 151 | 89.3¢ | 91.9¢ | $139 | +$3.87 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 800 | 44¢ | 15.5¢ | $124 | −$228 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 2,014 | 21¢ | 3.7¢ | $75 | −$348 | −$24 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 2,000 | 6¢ | 3.4¢ | $67 | −$53 | $0 | |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | Yes | 819 | 27.8¢ | 6.5¢ | $53 | −$174 | $0 | |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? | No | 466 | 24¢ | 10.2¢ | $47 | −$65 | $0 | |
| Will Josh Downs have 774.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 115 | 51¢ | 39.5¢ | $45 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 619 | 30.9¢ | 6.5¢ | $40 | −$152 | $0 | |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? | Yes | 135 | 37¢ | 22.5¢ | $30 | −$20 | $0 | |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510? | Yes | 64 | 23.5¢ | 26.9¢ | $17 | +$2.18 | $0 | |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? | Yes | 429 | 7.6¢ | 1.6¢ | $6.86 | −$26 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? | Yes | 38 | 7.1¢ | 4¢ | $1.54 | −$1.19 | $0 | |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? | Yes | 20 | 36¢ | 2.5¢ | $0.50 | −$6.70 | $0 | |
| Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech? | No | 793 | 41.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$332 | −$4.73 | |
| Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference? | No | 630 | 33.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$209 | −$5.59 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 520 | 25.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$134 | −$22 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | Up | 519 | 5.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30 | −$1.93 | |
| Will Trump say "Cuba" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | No | 500 | 6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30 | $0 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 500 | 29.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$150 | −$4.19 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | Yes | 454 | 79.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$359 | $0 | |
| Jynxzi vs Speed: who wins in Fortnite? | Jynxzi | 449 | 49.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$224 | −$5.39 | |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14? | No | 443 | 8.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$37 | $0 | |
| Nick Kyrgios suspended for less than 4 months | No | 405 | 35¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$142 | −$4.61 | |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16? | Yes | 402 | 33.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$135 | −$67 | |
| Will the announcers say "Wild" during the Colts vs Chiefs game? | No | 400 | 46.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$187 | −$1.00 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | Yes | 400 | 39.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$160 | −$61 | |
| Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026? | No | 322 | 22.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$73 | +$131 | |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 309 | 7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$22 | $0 | |
| Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 18? | Yes | 300 | 10¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30 | $0 | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | Yes | 300 | 9.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30 | $0 | |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? | No | 300 | 16.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$48 | −$1.63 | |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 5+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner? | No | 300 | 60¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$180 | $0 | |
| Will Anastasia Potapova advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Singles at the 2026 US Open? | No | 300 | 83¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$249 | −$2.12 | |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026? | No | 288 | 31.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$91 | −$5.28 | |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | FURIA | 282 | 59¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$166 | −$2.83 | |
| Will the announcers say "Roughing The Passer" during the Ravens vs Cowboys game? | No | 281 | 78¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$219 | −$1.93 | |
| Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026? | Yes | 276 | 38.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$105 | −$2.60 | |
| Will Trump say "Warrior" this week? | Yes | 251 | 81.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$204 | −$1.39 | |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | Yes | 250 | 6.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026? | No | 250 | 15¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$37 | −$0.23 | |
| Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 250 | 2.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7.00 | $0 | |
| Will Trump's remarks not air? | Yes | 235 | 5.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$14 | −$0.52 | |
| Will Trump say "Benjamin" or "Franklin" during Tribute to America Rally? | Yes | 233 | 68.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$159 | −$2.01 | |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15? | Yes | 226 | 4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8.97 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Melania" during White House Correspondents Dinner? | No | 225 | 64.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$146 | −$2.05 | |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? | Yes | 195 | 15¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$29 | −$1.00 | |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 193 | 18.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$36 | −$1.17 | |
| Will the announcers say "Roughing The Passer" during the Dolphins vs 49ers game? | No | 175 | 74¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$130 | $0 | |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 174 | 12¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21 | −$0.74 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Letitia James by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 170 | 96.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$165 | −$0.02 | |
| Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | No | 160 | 3.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.28 | −$0.08 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 160 | 13¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026? | Yes | 140 | 13.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$19 | +$9.83 | |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 133 | 43.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$58 | −$1.31 | |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12? | No | 132 | 75.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$1.22 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 16, 2026? | Yes | 125 | 8.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10 | −$0.37 | |
| Will Trump say "MAHA" or "Make America Healthy Again" during June 24 Rally? | No | 120 | 49¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$59 | −$1.20 | |
| Will Donald Trump visit Alabama in 2026? | No | 104 | 14¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | −$0.50 | |
| Will Trump say "Moon" during Tribute to America Rally? | No | 100 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.04 | |
| Will "Turning Point: Generation 9/11" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? | No | 100 | 86¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$86 | $0 | |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 9? | Yes | 85 | 3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.56 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | Up | 81 | 31¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$25 | −$1.21 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | Yes | 67 | 6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.05 | $0 | |
| Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on July 27? | Up | 64 | 84¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$54 | −$0.34 | |
| Will Trump say "Six Seven" during remarks in Georgia? | Yes | 55 | 7.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.32 | −$0.16 | |
| Jynxzi vs Speed: who wins in FIFA? | Jynxzi | 51 | 53¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$27 | −$0.63 | |
| Will the announcers say "What a Catch" during the Rams vs Broncos game? | No | 47 | 81.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$39 | −$81 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET | Up | 43 | 58¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$25 | −$0.73 | |
| Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 40 | 33¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$13 | +$20 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 18, 2026? | No | 26 | 39.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10 | −$0.25 | |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 29? | Yes | 22 | 89¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$19 | $0 | |
| Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | Yes | 20 | 12¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.40 | −$0.08 | |
| Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on July 16? | Yes | 14 | 27¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.70 | −$0.11 | |