PnL all-time−$377vol $30.6k
PnL 30d−$36gains $10 · losses $1.96
PnL 7d+$0.64win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate33.3%adj 46.2% · 30d 50.0%
Open value$1,240cash n/a
Positions4 / 10open / all-time
Max drawdown−44.9%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 5d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$416below peak −$445Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
17/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 33.3% · shrunk toward 50%16
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable33
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d83
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity55
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Noopen−$405Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yesclosed−$37Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yesclosed−$24Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yesopen−$9.00Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Noclosed−$8.31
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | No | 1,222 | 98.2¢ | 98.9¢ | $1,207 | +$7.94 | $0 | |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 477 | 20.5¢ | 3.3¢ | $16 | −$82 | −$323 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 35 | 40¢ | 37.5¢ | $13 | −$0.87 | $0 | |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 66 | 6.3¢ | 5.9¢ | $3.90 | −$0.23 | −$8.77 |
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