sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,216

0xfcb034ffesa540c81ad37321212f6e0c762feac8

0x64c…73ce
WhaleWR 70+WR 60+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$124kvol $11.0M
PnL 30d+$507gains $22.9k · losses $0
PnL 7d−$2,619win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate72.0%adj 68.1% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$129kcash n/a
Positions14 / 107open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 22d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$142kbelow peak −$165kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

29/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 72.0% · shrunk toward 50%70
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable68
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d26
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 14

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No123k69.1¢57.5¢$71.0k−$14.3k$0
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes65.0k68.7¢57.5¢$37.4k−$7,274$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes10,00082¢90.5¢$9,050+$850$0
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?No5,00081¢89¢$4,450+$400$0
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Yes5,00081¢89¢$4,450+$400$0
Will Democrats sweep the Maine Senate and Governor elections?Yes5,00069¢56.5¢$2,825−$625$0
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes2.00M8.6¢0¢$0−$172k$0
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?No136k12.3¢0¢$0−$16.8k+$8,520
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes65.0k24.6¢0¢$0−$16.0k−$90
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No60.0k26.3¢0¢$0−$15.8k−$91
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Yes18.3k13.7¢0¢$0−$2,508+$43.9k
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No10.0k10¢0¢$0−$1,000$0
Will Eric Adams drop out by Friday?Yes1,0005¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?Yes38915.9¢0¢$0−$62−$0.24

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?70¢8,547$5,98372%29
BUY NoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?88¢200k$176k72%29Whale
BUY YesWill Democrats sweep the Maine Senate and Governor elections?69¢222$15372%29
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?71¢8,310$5,90072%29
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?71¢7,463$5,29972%29
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?70¢328$22972%29
SELL YesWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?30.9¢485$15072%29
SELL NoWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?31¢71$2272%29
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?67¢12.8k$8,60972%29
SELL YesWill Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?10.1¢1,591$16172%29
SELL YesWill Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?7.1¢5,477$38772%29
SELL NoWill Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?15.2¢32.4k$4,92672%29
SELL YesWill Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?11.1¢2,071$23072%29
SELL YesWill Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?30.1¢1,049$31672%29
SELL NoWill Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?30.1¢216$6572%29
SELL NoWill Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?30.2¢10$3.0272%29
SELL NoWill Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?30¢1,000$30072%29
SELL NoWill Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?30.5¢78$2472%29
SELL NoWill Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?28.2¢3,000$84572%29
BUY YesWill Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?7¢13$0.9372%29