sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,912

RiskyWhisky

0x64d…ab80
CryptoPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$8,963vol $1.12M
PnL 30d+$1,309gains $2,590 · losses $1,602
PnL 7d+$456win rate 7d 68.8%
Win rate50.6%adj 50.6% · 30d 71.7%
Open value$5,030cash n/a
Positions18 / 5,924open / all-time
Max drawdown−77.3%of equity peak
Account age12molast trade 3h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$9,357below peak −$1,397Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

51/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale56
Adjusted win rateraw 50.6% · shrunk toward 50%27
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity23

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 18

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?No1,40591¢98.2¢$1,379+$100$0
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No1,43477¢77.5¢$1,112+$7.17$0
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No61493.4¢98.9¢$607+$34$0
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No45588.9¢94.5¢$430+$26$0
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?No43467¢85¢$369+$78$0
Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?Yes34272.9¢71.6¢$245−$4.57$0
Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?No20095.9¢92.1¢$184−$7.80+$5.55
Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by October 15, 2026?No13590.1¢98.3¢$133+$11$0
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes70024¢17.5¢$123−$46$0
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?Yes28759.8¢40.5¢$116−$56$0
Will CNN fly with Trump by October 15?No9492¢97.6¢$91+$5.20$0
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Yes16036.1¢43.5¢$70+$12$0
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?No24849¢18.5¢$46−$76+$9.50
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Yes63218.6¢6.5¢$41−$77+$401
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Zohran Mamdani by October 31, 2026?No8437.7¢43¢$36+$4.49$0
Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?No2874¢73¢$21−$0.28+$16
Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by October 31, 2026?Yes9918.4¢18.1¢$18−$0.34−$0.04
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No2535.1¢41.6¢$10+$1.62$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?73.9¢35$2651%51
BUY NoWill there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?55¢10$5.5051%51
BUY NoWill there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?60¢36$2251%51
BUY YesWill there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?49.6¢24$1251%51
BUY NoPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?77¢1,434$1,10451%51
BUY YesWill the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?72.9¢47$3451%51
BUY YesWill Trump say "Genius" during his Science Summit remarks?98¢20$2051%51
SELL NoWill the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?32.3¢84$2751%51
BUY NoWill the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?67¢208$13951%51
BUY NoWill the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?67¢226$15251%51
SELL NoWill the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?33¢155$5151%51
BUY YesWill Trump say "Million", "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Texas?88.9¢100$8951%51
BUY YesWill Trump say "Million", "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Texas?89¢300$26751%51
BUY NoWill Trump say "Million", "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Texas?74¢28$2151%51
BUY NoWill Trump say "Million", "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Texas?22¢100$2251%51
BUY YesWill Trump say "NVIDIA" in October?95.9¢36$3451%51
BUY NoWill Trump say "Fascism" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?69¢90$6251%51
BUY NoWill the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?24¢155$3751%51
BUY NoCarles Puigdemont back in Spain by October 15, 2026?90.1¢135$12251%51
BUY YesCarles Puigdemont back in Spain by October 31, 2026?21.1¢80$1751%51