sharpside
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0x651…611b

0x651…611b
WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$5,560vol $616k
PnL 30d−$794gains $2,545 · losses $1,371
PnL 7d−$217win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate71.6%adj 68.4% · 30d 96.0%
Open value$9,900cash n/a
Positions43 / 159open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$4,081below peak −$21.2kOct 12

SharpScore inputs

37/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 71.6% · shrunk toward 50%71
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable73
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d94
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 43

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?Yes3,18363.1¢80.5¢$2,562+$553$0
Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government?No2,11681.6¢81.5¢$1,724−$1.30$0
Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government?Yes1,22572.5¢69.5¢$851−$37$0
Will CDU be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?No68785.1¢91¢$625+$41$0
Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government?No67986.1¢81.5¢$553−$31$0
Will Grüne be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?Yes47892.4¢92.6¢$443+$1.09$0
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?Yes48781.2¢82.4¢$401+$5.67$0
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No41689.2¢86.1¢$358−$13$0
Will BSW be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?No37781.3¢87.5¢$330+$23$0
Will Grüne be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?No38388¢85.5¢$328−$9.53$0
Will Linke be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?Yes50292.8¢56.6¢$284−$182$0
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government?No30489¢92.8¢$282+$12$0
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No25096¢96.9¢$242+$2.13$0
Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?No28985.2¢78.5¢$227−$19$0
Will AfD be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?No19589.3¢87.6¢$171−$3.28$0
Will CDU be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?No15792.7¢95.3¢$150+$4.04$0
Will SPD be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?Yes14394.9¢95.9¢$137+$1.36$0
Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government?No12488.8¢78¢$97−$13$0
Will SPD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?No8189.5¢80.5¢$65−$7.25$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes42284.8¢14.5¢$61−$297−$7,355
Will Linke be in the next Berlin state government?Yes1183.1¢67¢$7.54−$1.81$0
Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?No261¢72¢$1.46+$0.22$0
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes5,06216¢0¢$0−$808−$1,190
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes3,42812.6¢0¢$0−$431−$599
Real Madrid CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5Over65246¢0¢$0−$300−$8.05
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?Yes39376.3¢0¢$0−$300−$2.13
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETDown36620.5¢0¢$0−$75−$4.08
Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?No34588¢0¢$0−$304−$1.46
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 3 - 0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid?Yes33315¢0¢$0−$50−$2.13
Will Racing Club De Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain end in a draw?Yes27535.8¢0¢$0−$98−$3.16
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?Yes20331.5¢0¢$0−$64−$2.19
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 3?Yes15040¢0¢$0−$60−$0.06
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Yes13052.5¢0¢$0−$68−$1.62
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceEgypt12779¢0¢$0−$100−$0.63
Israel Election: Unity Party & Blue and White Run on Same List?Yes12484.2¢0¢$0−$105−$0.66
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?Yes10893¢0¢$0−$100−$0.21
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Real Madrid CF10448¢0¢$0−$50−$1.30
Real Madrid CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5Over7468¢0¢$0−$50−$0.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETUp6737.4¢0¢$0−$25−$1.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETUp3726.9¢0¢$0−$10.00+$1.10
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?Yes3048¢0¢$0−$14$0
Will Nicaragua vs. Costa Rica end in a draw?Yes818¢0¢$0−$1.40−$0.06
Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina FIFA World Cup Match?No333¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.03

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10?82.5¢242$20072%37
BUY OverReal Madrid CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.542¢238$10072%37
BUY OverReal Madrid CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.546¢217$10072%37
BUY OverReal Madrid CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.551¢196$10072%37
BUY Real Madrid CFSpread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)48¢104$5072%37
BUY OverReal Madrid CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.568¢74$5072%37
BUY YesWill AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?88¢148$13072%37
BUY NoWill CDU be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?90.9¢111$10172%37
BUY YesWill AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?83.9¢504$42372%37
BUY NoWill the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government?82¢253$20772%37
BUY NoWill the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?82¢60$4972%37
BUY NoWill the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government?81¢781$63372%37
BUY YesWill the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?79.2¢347$27572%37
BUY YesWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?94¢1,021$96072%37
BUY YesWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?92¢2,623$2,41372%37
SELL YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?85¢2,864$2,43572%37
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?82.9¢1,546$1,28272%37
SELL YesWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?80¢1,626$1,30172%37
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?79.5¢1,318$1,04972%37
BUY YesWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?82¢637$52372%37