PnL all-time+$128vol $4,436
PnL 30d−$36gains $57 · losses $21
PnL 7d−$18win rate 7d 75.0%
Win rate54.5%adj 52.4% · 30d 50.0%
Open value$61cash n/a
Positions16 / 39open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age12molast trade 2h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
Not enough history to draw an equity curve.
SharpScore inputs
40/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale30
Adjusted win rateraw 54.5% · shrunk toward 50%31
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable53
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%? · Yesclosed+$66Bank of England rate hike in 2026? · Yesclosed+$58Bank of England rate cut in 2025? · Yesclosed+$48Will UK annual inflation be between 2.5% and 2.7% in June? · Yesclosed+$37Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET · Downclosed+$26
Worst markets
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yesopen−$52Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET · Downopen−$26Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? · Yesopen−$10US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026? · Yesopen−$10Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2025 meeting? · Yesopen−$10
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | Yes | 73 | 68.3¢ | 69¢ | $51 | +$0.53 | $0 | |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 38 | 26.2¢ | 16.1¢ | $6.14 | −$3.85 | $0 | |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? | Yes | 47 | 21.2¢ | 6.5¢ | $3.07 | −$6.93 | $0 | |
| Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Yes | 139 | 38.6¢ | 1.3¢ | $1.74 | −$52 | $0 |
Recent trades
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