PnL all-time+$1,713vol $146k
PnL 30d−$35gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$37win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate55.6%adj 54.8% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$1,223cash n/a
Positions5 / 156open / all-time
Max drawdown−35.8%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 3mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$1,863below peak −$89Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
46/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale46
Adjusted win rateraw 55.6% · shrunk toward 50%37
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable73
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity64
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will "The Faces of Death" score at least 68 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · Noclosed+$454Will AD Pasto win on 2026-04-11? · Yesclosed+$339Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5 · Overclosed+$330Will Israel strike Gaza on January 30, 2026? · Yesclosed+$312Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 19, 2026? · Yesclosed+$294
Worst markets
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score · Noclosed−$605Will David Portnoy give another 9+ pizza review by April 30? · Noclosed−$371Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-4.5) · Evansville Acesclosed−$340Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Grambling State Tigers · Grambling State Tigersclosed−$327Will Leavitt say "China" during the next White House press briefing? · Yesclosed−$302
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 3.5 | Under | 606 | 65¢ | 100¢ | $606 | +$212 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? | No | 540 | 65¢ | 83¢ | $448 | +$97 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | Anthropic | 176 | 52¢ | 95.5¢ | $168 | +$76 | $0 | |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? | Yes | 20 | 42¢ | 3.4¢ | $0.67 | −$7.77 | $0 | |
| Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30? | Yes | 183 | 51¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$93 | $0 |
Recent trades
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