sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,323

ARCSOL

0x657…a6eb
1y+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$5,887vol $30.6k
PnL 30d+$0.97gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$0.11win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate49.2%adj 49.4% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$13.5kcash n/a
Positions5 / 66open / all-time
Max drawdown−44.5%of equity peak
Account age1.8ylast trade 4mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$5,890below peak $0Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

42/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale54
Adjusted win rateraw 49.2% · shrunk toward 50%23
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable61
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity56

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 5

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No12.8k52¢100¢$12.8k+$6,156$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No55899.4¢100¢$558+$3.35$0
Trump out as President by June 30?No10198.9¢100¢$101+$1.11−$0.03
Trump out as President before 2027?No5690¢96.2¢$53+$3.44$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes2365.3¢0¢$0−$15$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?99.4¢558$55549%42
BUY NoTrump out as President by June 30?98.9¢101$10049%42
BUY NoTrump out as President before 2027?90¢56$5049%42
BUY YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?65.3¢23$1549%42
BUY NoWill Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-10?52¢10$5.0049%42
BUY JazzJazz vs. Clippers15¢685$10349%42
SELL NoWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?96.1¢53$5149%42
BUY NoWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?95¢53$5049%42
SELL YesWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?51¢40$2049%42
SELL NoUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?75¢122$9249%42
BUY NoUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?85¢122$10449%42
BUY YesWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?98.3¢10$1049%42
BUY NoWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?98.1¢10$1049%42
SELL NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?98.8¢52$5249%42
BUY AlcarazATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic51¢98$5049%42
BUY NoWill Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?39¢49$1949%42
BUY CardinalsSpread: Packers (-7.5)56¢10$5.5049%42
BUY NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?95.7¢52$5049%42
BUY CommandersCommanders vs. Cowboys48¢10$5.0049%42
BUY NoWill Fiorentina win on 2025-10-19?92¢7$6.0049%42