PnL all-time+$18vol $4,613
PnL 30d+$51gains $45 · losses $28
PnL 7d+$54win rate 7d 80.0%
Win rate53.3%adj 51.4% · 30d 53.3%
Open value$335cash n/a
Positions9 / 24open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age25dlast trade 8h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
Not enough history to draw an equity curve.
SharpScore inputs
33/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale18
Adjusted win rateraw 53.3% · shrunk toward 50%28
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable46
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? · Noclosed+$13Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31? · Yesclosed+$11Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be between 650,000 and 700,000? · Yesopen+$11Collins flips Jackson for Maine Senate by November 2? · Noclosed+$8.42Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,400,000 and 1,500,000? · Yesopen+$8.18
Worst markets
Will Republicans win white voters in the midterms? · Noopen−$12Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat? · Noclosed−$11EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31? · Noclosed−$6.97Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit? · Noclosed−$6.29Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-06 House election by 15%-20%? · Yesopen−$4.50
Open positions · 9
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026? | Yes | 150 | 56¢ | 57.5¢ | $86 | +$2.25 | $0 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 71 | 72.3¢ | 73.3¢ | $52 | +$0.71 | $0 | |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be between 650,000 and 700,000? | Yes | 234 | 15¢ | 19.6¢ | $46 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat? | No | 91 | 46¢ | 46¢ | $42 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,400,000 and 1,500,000? | Yes | 91 | 33¢ | 42¢ | $38 | +$8.18 | $0 | |
| Will Republicans win white voters in the midterms? | No | 124 | 28.6¢ | 18.5¢ | $23 | −$13 | +$0.33 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 49 | 41¢ | 40.5¢ | $20 | −$0.24 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-06 House election by 15%-20%? | Yes | 67 | 30¢ | 23.3¢ | $16 | −$4.50 | $0 | |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 23 | 41.2¢ | 57.5¢ | $13 | +$3.71 | $0 |
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