sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,679

manekineko

0x660…1338@0x8483
SharpWhalePnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$83.4kvol $12.6M
PnL 30d+$3,022gains $4,797 · losses $159
PnL 7d−$1,020win rate 7d 75.0%
Win rate83.5%adj 82.2% · 30d 81.8%
Open value$156kcash n/a
Positions16 / 546open / all-time
Max drawdown−21.2%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$85.9kbelow peak −$12.6kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

82/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale70
Adjusted win rateraw 83.5% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable91
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity79

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 16

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No40.0k91.9¢94.5¢$37.8k+$1,050$0
Trump out as President before 2027?No30.0k93¢95.5¢$28.6k+$735+$200
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes34.0k63¢60.5¢$20.6k−$833−$13
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes18.0k76.4¢74.5¢$13.4k−$344$0
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No13.0k78.9¢90¢$11.7k+$1,444$0
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes12.9k85.5¢87¢$11.2k+$193$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes10.0k65.7¢62.5¢$6,267−$321$0
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes5,00098¢98.4¢$4,918+$18$0
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No5,00089¢96.7¢$4,835+$385$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes5,00092¢90.5¢$4,525−$75$0
Iran leadership change by December 31?No5,00085¢88.5¢$4,425+$175$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No5,00064¢63.5¢$3,175−$25$0
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes1,42497.6¢98.4¢$1,401+$12$0
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes1,00197.8¢97.8¢$979−$0.29$0
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes1,00296.4¢96¢$962−$4.14$0
Cuban regime falls in 2026?No1,00089¢90.5¢$905+$15$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesVariational FDV above $1B one day after launch?63¢14.1k$8,85884%82Sharp
SELL NoPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?96.6¢17.7k$17.1k84%82WhaleSharp
BUY YesVariational FDV above $1B one day after launch?63¢6,872$4,32984%82Sharp
SELL NoPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?96.8¢4,582$4,43684%82Sharp
BUY YesVariational FDV above $1B one day after launch?62.6¢4,089$2,55984%82Sharp
SELL NoPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?96.9¢2,715$2,63184%82Sharp
BUY YesVariational FDV above $800M one day after launch?78¢10.3k$8,05584%82Sharp
SELL NoXi Jinping out before 2027?97.3¢5,000$4,86584%82Sharp
BUY YesVariational FDV above $800M one day after launch?77¢1,834$1,41284%82Sharp
SELL NoWill Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?97.6¢4,000$3,90684%82Sharp
SELL NoWill Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?97.7¢1,000$97784%82Sharp
BUY YesVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?88¢2,132$1,87684%82Sharp
BUY YesVariational FDV above $800M one day after launch?76¢424$32284%82Sharp
SELL NoNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?77¢1,936$1,49184%82Sharp
BUY YesVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?87¢10$8.7084%82Sharp
BUY YesVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?85¢4,490$3,81784%82Sharp
BUY YesVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?85¢5,053$4,29584%82Sharp
BUY YesVariational FDV above $300M one day after launch?96.4¢1,002$96684%82Sharp
BUY YesVariational FDV above $200M one day after launch?97.8¢1,001$97984%82Sharp
BUY YesVariational FDV above $800M one day after launch?73¢5,096$3,72084%82Sharp