PnL all-time+$16vol $65.6k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate69.2%adj 60.9% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$2,190cash n/a
Positions5 / 33open / all-time
Max drawdown−7.9%of equity peak
Account age1.6ylast trade 6mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$16below peak $0Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
32/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale17
Adjusted win rateraw 69.2% · shrunk toward 50%52
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable51
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity92
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Red Wings vs. Capitals · Capitalsclosed+$47Will Jerome Powell say "good afternoon" during the May meeting? · Yesclosed+$20Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? · Noopen+$14Will Finland win Eurovision 2025? · Noclosed+$9.32Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026? · Noclosed+$7.79
Worst markets
Celtics vs. Pistons · Celticsclosed−$66Nottingham Forest wins the Premier League? · Noclosed−$18Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party? · Yesclosed−$15Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2025? · Noclosed−$3.39Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? · Yesopen−$2.85
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Oman strike Iran by March 31? | No | 910 | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $910 | +$1.82 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 530 | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $530 | +$2.23 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | No | 410 | 96.5¢ | 100¢ | $410 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March? | No | 340 | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $340 | +$1.21 | $0 | |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | Yes | 570 | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.85 | $0 |
Recent trades
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