PnL all-time+$249kvol $4.75M
PnL 30d+$100gains $2,092 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$100win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate69.5%adj 66.7% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$0cash n/a
Positions7 / 127open / all-time
Max drawdown−29.0%of equity peak
Account age1.6ylast trade 2mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$252kbelow peak −$100Oct 8
SharpScore inputs
59/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale77
Adjusted win rateraw 69.5% · shrunk toward 50%67
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable70
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity71
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed+$163kWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? · Yesclosed+$73.9kCavaliers vs. Knicks · Cavaliersclosed+$57.0kWill Polymarket US go live in 2025? · Yesclosed+$10.6kLord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? · Noclosed+$8,529
Worst markets
Open positions · 7
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1.32M | 2.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$31.2k | −$1,923 | |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 779k | 1.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9,950 | −$295 | |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 444k | 2.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9,108 | +$4,057 | |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 178k | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,304 | −$97 | |
| Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage? | Yes | 11.0k | 31¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,399 | −$2,526 | |
| Will Julian Sayin win the Heisman Trophy? | Yes | 1,000 | 40.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$404 | $0 | |
| Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? | Yes | 337 | 83.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$281 | $0 |
Recent trades
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