sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,537

Jellow2

0x664…2202
SharpWhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 60+1y+PoliticsCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$126kvol $6.35M
PnL 30d+$23.6kgains $32.1k · losses $4,843
PnL 7d+$6,349win rate 7d 83.3%
Win rate66.4%adj 65.8% · 30d 64.7%
Open value$134kcash n/a
Positions18 / 541open / all-time
Max drawdown−18.5%of equity peak
Account age1.4ylast trade 16h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$128kbelow peak −$213Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

75/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale73
Adjusted win rateraw 66.4% · shrunk toward 50%65
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable91
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity82

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 18

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No90.0k50¢80.2¢$72.1k+$27.1k$0
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No25.0k99.4¢99.8¢$24.9k+$88$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes90.0k50¢19.9¢$17.9k−$27.1k$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes8,00049¢62.5¢$5,000+$1,080+$42
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No5,20770.2¢63.5¢$3,307−$349−$323
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No5,00049¢63.5¢$3,175+$725$0
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes3,40087.7¢79.5¢$2,703−$279−$1.71
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes2,66733¢79.5¢$2,120+$1,240+$160
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 970m by October 31?Yes1,08092.8¢97.7¢$1,055+$53$0
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes66057.2¢73.5¢$485+$107$0
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No71968¢57.5¢$413−$75$0
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No29963¢73.5¢$220+$31$0
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Yes14572¢77¢$112+$7.25$0
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes11151¢68.5¢$76+$19$0
Will Andrew Feinstein win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?No7287¢100¢$72+$9.34$0
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes10052¢42.5¢$43−$9.54$0
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No4151¢69.5¢$28+$7.55$0
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes13.8k23.2¢0.1¢$14−$3,181$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?99.4¢25.0k$24.9k66%75WhaleSharp
SELL YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?43¢4,000$1,72066%75Sharp
BUY YesWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 970m by October 31?92.8¢1,080$1,00266%75Sharp
BUY YesWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?97.6¢356$34766%75Sharp
BUY YesWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?97.6¢244$23866%75Sharp
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?60.9¢613$37366%75Sharp
BUY YesWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?96.9¢1,733$1,67866%75Sharp
BUY YesWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?97.9¢703$68866%75Sharp
SELL YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?61.7¢4,000$2,46966%75Sharp
SELL YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?85.1¢4,000$3,40566%75Sharp
SELL NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?84¢8,000$6,72066%75Sharp
BUY YesWill Linke win at least 23% of all valid second votes?18¢1,488$26866%75Sharp
SELL YesWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?77¢26.0k$20.0k66%75WhaleSharp
BUY YesWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?81¢2,000$1,62066%75Sharp
SELL YesWill OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?75.7¢2,603$1,96966%75Sharp
BUY NoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?86¢1,000$86066%75Sharp
SELL YesFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?19.1¢9,525$1,82466%75Sharp
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?1¢4,000$4066%75Sharp
BUY YesWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?27¢2,850$77066%75Sharp
BUY YesWill United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?98.6¢81$8066%75Sharp