PnL all-time+$5.16vol $2,095
PnL 30d+$8.26gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$3.16win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate55.6%adj 51.7% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$721cash n/a
Positions3 / 12open / all-time
Max drawdown−4.3%of equity peak
Account age1.8ylast trade 2d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$52below peak −$5.87Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
29/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale10
Adjusted win rateraw 55.6% · shrunk toward 50%29
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable36
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d93
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity96
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the next Government of Australia be a Labor majority? · Yesclosed+$90Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by December 31, 2026? · Noopen+$54Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election? · Yesclosed+$11Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025? · Yesclosed+$9.87Will Playboi Carti release new album in 2024? · Noclosed+$5.44
Worst markets
Will the next Government of Australia be a Labor minority? · Yesclosed−$76Trump inauguration gets more viewers than Biden's? · Yesclosed−$32Will One Nation win the most seats in the next Victorian state election? · Noopen−$5.11Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Noclosed−$3.08Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the first leader out in 2025? · Yesopen−$1.20
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by December 31, 2026? | No | 646 | 86.9¢ | 95.2¢ | $615 | +$54 | $0 | |
| Will One Nation win the most seats in the next Victorian state election? | No | 120 | 92.9¢ | 88.6¢ | $106 | −$5.11 | $0 |
Recent trades
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