sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,141

Marioy

0x66a…cc4e
WhaleWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+Crypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$889vol $3.78M
PnL 30d+$14.6kgains $1,381 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$6,339win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate82.9%adj 81.5% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$142kcash n/a
Positions18 / 473open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 4d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$52.4kbelow peak −$15.6kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

46/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 82.9% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable89
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d83
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 18

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No29.2k58.8¢96.7¢$28.2k+$11.0k$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No30.0k43.3¢93.5¢$28.0k+$15.1k$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?No22.5k70.8¢96.9¢$21.8k+$5,870$0
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?No10.0k90¢96.3¢$9,630+$630$0
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes10.0k74.5¢90.5¢$9,065+$1,603−$93
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No10,00029¢90¢$9,000+$6,100$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?No10,00091¢85.5¢$8,550−$550$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?No10.0k87¢78.5¢$7,850−$850$0
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes6,24749.6¢84¢$5,248+$2,149−$35
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes5,00035¢80.5¢$4,025+$2,275$0
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes4,26760¢87.5¢$3,734+$1,174$0
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes5,00026¢65.5¢$3,275+$1,975$0
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?Yes5,00021¢62.5¢$3,125+$2,075$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?Yes3,00079¢0¢$0−$2,370$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?Yes1,00063¢0¢$0−$630−$16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9?Yes1,00080.2¢0¢$0−$802−$11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 29?Yes56488.8¢0¢$0−$501−$6,550
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 29?Up20097.4¢0¢$0−$195−$0.21

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?87¢10.0k$8,70083%46
BUY NoWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?94¢10.0k$9,40083%46
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down on August 17?48.4¢1,000$48483%46
BUY YesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 20?74¢1,000$74083%46
BUY YesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 19?77¢1,000$77083%46
BUY YesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 18?82¢874$71783%46
BUY YesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 14?93¢886$82483%46
BUY NoWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?59¢1,000$59083%46
BUY NoWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?58¢1,769$1,02683%46
BUY NoWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?79¢1,261$99683%46
SELL YesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 5?99.8¢9,146$9,12883%46
BUY YesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 7?91¢882$80283%46
BUY YesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 4?96.4¢652$62883%46
BUY YesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 4?65¢940$61183%46
BUY YesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 6?77¢2,000$1,54083%46
BUY YesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 5?80.2¢2,000$1,60383%46
BUY YesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 5?95.8¢116$11183%46
BUY YesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 4?87.3¢1,983$1,73183%46
SELL YesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 1?83¢7$5.8183%46
SELL YesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 1?91.1¢907$82683%46