PnL all-time−$676vol $4,966
PnL 30d+$6.81gains $16 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$16win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate75.0%adj 57.1% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$489cash n/a
Positions6 / 14open / all-time
Max drawdown−96.3%of equity peak
Account age4molast trade 20h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$663below peak −$920Oct 11
SharpScore inputs
15/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 75.0% · shrunk toward 50%43
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable38
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity4
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$78Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed+$17Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? · Noclosed+$16Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027? · Noopen+$13Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? · Yesclosed+$11
Worst markets
Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? · Noopen−$608Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting? · Yesopen−$196Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Noopen−$34Will the Bank of Korea cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? · Yesopen−$1.75Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$1.13
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% before 2027? | No | 270 | 93¢ | 95.5¢ | $258 | +$6.75 | $0 | |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027? | No | 200 | 91¢ | 97.7¢ | $195 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | 70¢ | 36.5¢ | $37 | −$34 | $0 | |
| Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? | No | 877 | 68.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$599 | −$9.33 | |
| Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting? | Yes | 323 | 59.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$193 | −$3.25 | |
| Will the Bank of Korea cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? | Yes | 209 | 0.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.67 | −$0.08 |
Recent trades
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