PnL all-time+$10.2kvol $1.18M
PnL 30d−$1,474gains $235 · losses $38
PnL 7d+$47win rate 7d 80.0%
Win rate69.6%adj 68.7% · 30d 78.3%
Open value$12.6kcash n/a
Positions29 / 489open / all-time
Max drawdown−28.5%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 9h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$8,762below peak −$3,500Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
72/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale57
Adjusted win rateraw 69.6% · shrunk toward 50%72
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable90
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity72
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Noopen+$2,765Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? · Yesclosed+$2,093Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Noclosed+$1,837Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yesclosed+$1,709US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · Yesclosed+$1,226
Worst markets
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yesopen−$2,765Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? · Noclosed−$1,903Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Noclosed−$345Brown University shooter arrested by December 31? · Yesclosed−$296Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? · Yesopen−$269
Open positions · 29
Recent trades
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