sharpside
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Traders/Rank #11,950

0x670…06f6

0x670…06f6
WR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$112vol $11.3k
PnL 30d+$14gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$1.91win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate68.0%adj 60.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$2,760cash n/a
Positions58 / 83open / all-time
Max drawdown−40.9%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 5mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$211below peak −$404Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

22/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 68.0% · shrunk toward 50%50
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable64
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity59

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 58

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes59796.8¢100¢$597+$19+$1.29
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No45294.4¢100¢$452+$25$0
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No40491.1¢100¢$404+$36+$14
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?No28296.7¢100¢$282+$9.33$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes16994.3¢100¢$169+$9.65$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes17177.8¢90.5¢$155+$22+$5.29
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes14598.2¢100¢$145+$2.68$0
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?Yes7599.8¢100¢$75+$0.15$0
Netanyahu out by March 31?No6095.6¢100¢$60+$2.63$0
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes5398.5¢100¢$53+$0.79+$0.09
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?No3893¢100¢$38+$2.64−$6.32
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?Yes3197.3¢100¢$31+$0.85$0
Foreign intervention in Gaza by April 30?No3099.8¢100¢$30+$0.07$0
Will the DHS shutdown last 14 days or more?Yes2292¢100¢$22+$1.76$0
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes2191.8¢100¢$21+$1.72$0
Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?No2093.3¢100¢$20+$1.31−$2.26
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes1792.8¢100¢$17+$1.25+$6.67
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31?Yes1789.6¢100¢$17+$1.80$0
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?No1697.3¢100¢$16+$0.43+$0.04
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes16219¢9.2¢$15−$16−$2.81
US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026?Yes1499¢100¢$14+$0.14$0
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No1495.7¢100¢$14+$0.59+$26
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No1397.4¢100¢$13+$0.34+$4.83
Dems or GOP larger turnout in Texas Senate Primary?Dems1281¢100¢$12+$2.29$0
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?Yes997.3¢100¢$9.47+$0.26$0
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?Yes995¢100¢$9.39+$0.47$0
US evacuates Guadalajara consulate by Feb 28?No898.7¢100¢$7.62+$0.10−$0.10
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes2939.8¢24.5¢$7.12−$4.45$0
Kristi Noem out by March 31?Yes735¢100¢$6.71+$4.36$0
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1832.7¢3.5¢$6.32+$1.38$0
State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30? No590.8¢100¢$5.12+$0.47$0
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No597.9¢100¢$4.68+$0.10−$0.04
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?No597.9¢100¢$4.53+$0.09+$1.99
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 12?Yes499.6¢100¢$3.64+$0.01$0
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes392.3¢100¢$3.46+$0.27+$0.07
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?Yes383.8¢100¢$3.29+$0.53$0
Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?Yes375¢100¢$2.57+$0.64$0
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes594.2¢3.5¢$2.03−$0.45$0
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No282¢100¢$1.93+$0.35$0
Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?Yes269¢100¢$1.59+$0.49$0
Will India join the Board of Peace?No298¢100¢$1.52+$0.03$0
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5071.6¢0.3¢$1.27−$6.81$0
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 14?Yes198¢100¢$1.09+$0.02$0
Will Brazil join the Board of Peace?No198¢100¢$1.09+$0.02$0
US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?Yes198¢100¢$1.09+$0.02$0
Will the U.K. join the Board of Peace?No198.7¢100¢$1.08+$0.01$0
Will Norway join the Board of Peace?No198.7¢100¢$1.08+$0.01$0
Will Sweden join the Board of Peace?No198.7¢100¢$1.08+$0.01$0
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes3167¢0.1¢$0.02−$21$0
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?Yes1550¢0¢$0$0$0
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?Yes1410¢0¢$0$0$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETDown1020¢0¢$0$0$0
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No6176.6¢0¢$0−$47$0
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No4261¢0¢$0−$26$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETUp390¢0¢$0$0$0
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes1988.4¢0¢$0−$17$0
Foreign intervention in Gaza in 2025?Yes80¢0¢$0$0$0
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?Yes561.5¢0¢$0−$3.01$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesIran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?97.3¢9$9.2168%22
BUY NoForeign intervention in Gaza by April 30?99.2¢1$1.0768%22
BUY NoForeign intervention in Gaza by April 30?99.8¢29$2968%22
BUY NoWill Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?82¢2$1.5868%22
BUY YesWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?41¢3$1.0768%22
BUY YesWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?41¢6$2.5968%22
BUY YesWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?41¢3$1.0768%22
BUY YesWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?39¢18$6.8468%22
SELL NoUS-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?84.9¢7$5.7068%22
SELL NoWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?95.3¢40$3868%22
SELL NoWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?97.1¢13$1368%22
BUY NoWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?95.9¢1$1.0768%22
SELL NoWill Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?95¢1$1.0668%22
BUY NoWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?95.8¢2$1.6368%22
BUY NoWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?95.6¢1$1.0768%22
BUY NoWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?95.4¢1$1.2168%22
BUY NoWill Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?93.1¢1$1.0768%22
BUY NoWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?94.8¢47$4568%22
BUY NoWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?96.2¢1$1.0768%22
SELL NoWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?99.6¢39$3968%22