sharpside
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Traders/Rank #6,844

FishHunter

0x676…ce51
WR 60+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1,367vol $24.8k
PnL 30d+$681gains $1,000 · losses $458
PnL 7d+$43win rate 7d 33.3%
Win rate67.9%adj 65.2% · 30d 71.4%
Open value$1,826cash n/a
Positions32 / 144open / all-time
Max drawdown−11.0%of equity peak
Account age4molast trade 16h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$1,756below peak $0Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

69/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale45
Adjusted win rateraw 67.9% · shrunk toward 50%63
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable72
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity89

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 32

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 82% to 83%?No20281¢93¢$187+$24$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?No18451¢56.5¢$104+$10$0
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?No27737¢36¢$100−$2.64$0
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 19?Yes12178.6¢81.5¢$99+$3.52$0
Will Miroslava Ferancová be the next Mayor of Olomouc?No2084.8¢47.3¢$98+$88$0
Will White House post 200+ posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?No36613¢26.5¢$97+$49$0
Will Republicans win white women in the midterms?Yes46516.5¢18.5¢$86+$9.08$0
Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11?No12364.3¢63.1¢$78−$1.53$0
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026?No29026.4¢26¢$76−$1.13$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-24 House election by 20%-25%?Yes29014¢24.5¢$71+$30$0
Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?No17533.8¢38.5¢$67+$8.17$0
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 27?Yes8071.5¢79.5¢$64+$6.40$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-04 House election by 30% or more?Yes10251.1¢60.6¢$62+$9.64$0
Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by October 31, 2026?No7159¢85¢$60+$19$0
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by October 30, 2026?No6166¢91.5¢$56+$16$0
United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 85%+?Yes27823.9¢19¢$53−$14$0
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?No9351¢53.5¢$50+$2.32$0
SSI public model released by December 31, 2026?No11825.2¢42¢$49+$20$0
California Recall Election Reform PropositionNo9059.7¢53.5¢$48−$5.54$0
Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings?No9324.1¢47¢$44+$21$0
Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government?No12640.8¢34¢$43−$8.52$0
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?No7255¢55.5¢$40+$0.36$0
Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 16?No6068¢66¢$40−$1.20$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?No5153¢70¢$36+$8.66$0
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?No8334.2¢41.5¢$34+$6.01$0
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31?No12523.7¢24¢$30+$0.40$0
Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?No6235¢25¢$16−$6.20$0
Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026?Yes13421.6¢10.4¢$14−$15$0
Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz by October 31?No1119.1¢7.7¢$8.49−$1.61$0
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?Yes13013.7¢5.7¢$7.40−$10$0
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by October 31?No7010¢10¢$7.00$0$0
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?Yes12016.7¢3.1¢$3.72−$16$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Trump meet with Mark Carney by October 31, 2026?83.2¢71$5968%69
SELL NoWill US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by October 30, 2026?90.4¢61$5568%69
SELL NoWill Miroslava Ferancová be the next Mayor of Olomouc?25¢42$1068%69
SELL NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?85¢118$10068%69
BUY NoWill Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?37¢277$10268%69
BUY YesUnited Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 85%+?23.9¢278$6768%69
BUY YesIsrael military action against Lebanon on October 27?71.5¢80$5768%69
BUY YesIsrael military action against Lebanon on October 19?78.6¢121$9568%69
BUY NoUnited Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 82% to 83%?81¢202$16368%69
BUY NoCalifornia Recall Election Reform Proposition59.7¢90$5468%69
BUY NoWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?51¢184$9468%69
BUY YesWill Republicans win white women in the midterms?16.5¢465$7768%69
SELL NoWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in October?48.7¢114$5668%69
BUY NoWill White House post 200+ posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?13¢366$4868%69
BUY NoDemocratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 16?68¢60$4168%69
BUY NoWill 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11?64.3¢123$7968%69
BUY YesWill 15% to 24% of Corn acreage be in D1-D4 drought this week?80¢51$4068%69
BUY NoWill China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?35¢62$2268%69
BUY YesWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?16.7¢120$2068%69
BUY NoWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?53¢51$2768%69