sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,106

pinduoduo

0x67b…4bb1
WhalePnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsCryptoOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$38.9kvol $575k
PnL 30d+$643gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$538win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate87.8%adj 75.4% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$63.7kcash n/a
Positions24 / 65open / all-time
Max drawdown−18.1%of equity peak
Account age1.1ylast trade 19d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$40.8kbelow peak −$3,449Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

56/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale66
Adjusted win rateraw 87.8% · shrunk toward 50%89
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable60
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d35
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity82

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will the government shutdown end November 12? · Noclosed+$32.4kXi Jinping out in 2025? · Noclosed+$9,944US government shutdown Saturday? · Yesclosed+$2,042Will the government shutdown end November 13? · Yesclosed+$1,878Trump out as President by March 31? · Noclosed+$1,867

Worst markets

TikTok sale announced in 2025? · Noopen−$7,220Government shutdown on Saturday? · Yesclosed−$1,449MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? · Noopen−$1,028Will Trump visit China by April 30? · Yesclosed−$875Ethereum flipped in 2026? · Noopen−$300

Open positions · 24

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Trump out as President before 2027?No66.1k93¢95.8¢$63.3k+$1,806$0
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?No34887.1¢98.2¢$342+$39$0
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes9144¢27.5¢$25−$15$0
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?No2484.2¢96.2¢$23+$2.85$0
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Yes2737¢55.5¢$15+$5.00$0
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes617¢3.1¢$0.18−$0.82$0
TikTok sale announced in 2025?No33.0k21.8¢0¢$0−$7,220$0
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5,0000.2¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.30
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No3,27930.5¢0¢$0−$1,000−$28
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in February?Yes2,1234.7¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?Yes1,35714.7¢0¢$0−$200$0
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes88122.7¢0¢$0−$200−$7.73
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February?Yes7141.4¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Ethereum flipped in 2026?No61948.4¢0¢$0−$300$0
Will Solana reach $120 in February?Yes58817¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?Yes4800.5¢0¢$0−$2.40$0
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?Yes3033.3¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No30029¢0¢$0−$87$0
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No24285¢0¢$0−$206$0
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?Yes2005¢0¢$0−$10−$0.28
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?Yes1110.9¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.03
US government shutdown in 2025?No6745¢0¢$0−$30$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?No4982.2¢0¢$0−$40$0
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?Yes813¢0¢$0−$1.00$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoTrump out as President before 2027?95¢24.2k$23.0k88%56Whale
BUY NoTrump out as President before 2027?95¢30.0k$28.5k88%56Whale
SELL YesOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?83.1¢159$13288%56
BUY YesWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?22.7¢881$20088%56
BUY YesWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?0.9¢111$1.0088%56
BUY YesWill Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.2¢5,000$1088%56
BUY YesWill Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?5¢200$1088%56
BUY NoWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?96.1¢100$9688%56
SELL NoTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?99.2¢126$12588%56
SELL NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?90¢7,500$6,75088%56
BUY NoMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?30.5¢3,279$1,00088%56
BUY NoTrump out as President by June 30?95¢4,198$3,98888%56
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?82¢122$10088%56
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?9¢111$1088%56
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire by May 31?56¢893$50088%56
SELL NoUS forces enter Iran by March 31?99.8¢2,427$2,42288%56
SELL NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?84¢2,500$2,10088%56
SELL YesWill Trump visit China by May 31?74¢3,054$2,26088%56
SELL YesWill Trump visit China by April 30?3.5¢3,531$12588%56
BUY YesWill Trump visit China by May 31?65.5¢3,054$2,00088%56