PnL all-time+$2,012vol $1.14M
PnL 30d+$1,584gains $503 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$360win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate72.7%adj 68.0% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$135kcash n/a
Positions9 / 87open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 22h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$9,248below peak −$478Oct 10
SharpScore inputs
46/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale47
Adjusted win rateraw 72.7% · shrunk toward 50%70
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable65
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Open positions · 9
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 136k | 91.9¢ | 97.2¢ | $132k | +$7,136 | +$1,305 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | No | 2,000 | 88¢ | 90.5¢ | $1,810 | +$50 | $0 | |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 400 | 74¢ | 73.5¢ | $294 | −$2.00 | $0 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 157 | 92.9¢ | 97.3¢ | $152 | +$6.77 | +$253 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 201 | 71¢ | 74.5¢ | $150 | +$7.03 | $0 | |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | 26¢ | 27¢ | $27 | +$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 6,451 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$64 | −$84 | |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 103 | 6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6.17 | −$0.17 | |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 102 | 32.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$33 | −$0.67 |
Recent trades
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