| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 40.0k | 50¢ | 80.2¢ | $32.0k | +$12.0k | $0 | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 40.0k | 50¢ | 19.9¢ | $7,930 | −$12.0k | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 6,467 | 88.9¢ | 95.5¢ | $6,173 | +$427 | −$1,407 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3,998 | 81.6¢ | 81.5¢ | $3,258 | −$4.68 | −$239 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? | No | 2,210 | 63.7¢ | 67¢ | $1,480 | +$73 | +$23 | |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | Yes | 1,400 | 60.7¢ | 81.5¢ | $1,141 | +$292 | +$17 | |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? | No | 3,999 | 17.7¢ | 17.5¢ | $700 | −$7.87 | +$296 | |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 625 | 93¢ | 95.6¢ | $597 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026? | No | 442 | 72.3¢ | 73¢ | $323 | +$3.17 | $0 | |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? | Yes | 1,341 | 37.2¢ | 18¢ | $241 | −$258 | −$5.49 | |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? | Yes | 6,468 | 9.5¢ | 2.8¢ | $178 | −$434 | +$1,501 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? | No | 171 | 0¢ | 88¢ | $150 | +$150 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 442 | 25.2¢ | 26.5¢ | $117 | +$5.60 | $0 | |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 84 | 14¢ | 56.5¢ | $47 | +$36 | +$175 | |
| Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? | No | 84 | 80.4¢ | 43.5¢ | $36 | −$31 | −$148 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 171 | 0¢ | 13¢ | $22 | +$22 | $0 | |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 625 | 4¢ | 2.8¢ | $18 | −$7.50 | $0 | |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? | No | 18 | 75.7¢ | 80.5¢ | $15 | +$0.88 | +$21 | |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | No | 16 | 85¢ | 91.5¢ | $15 | +$1.04 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum hit $3k by December 31, 2026? | No | 18 | 39¢ | 56¢ | $10 | +$3.06 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 18 | 55¢ | 40¢ | $7.20 | −$2.70 | $0 | |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 15 | 22¢ | 18.5¢ | $2.77 | −$0.53 | +$138 | |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? | No | 16 | 12¢ | 6.5¢ | $1.04 | −$0.88 | $0 | |
| Will Luis Felipe Romero Peña win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections? | Yes | 714 | 14¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.36 | −$100 | $0 | |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 21.7k | 84.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$18.3k | +$5,787 | |
| US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026? | No | 14.9k | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 11.5k | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$46 | −$2.30 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 11.5k | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$23 | −$1.15 | |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | Yes | 9,640 | 2.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$220 | −$11 | |
| US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026? | Yes | 9,428 | 5.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$531 | −$74 | |
| Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 7,862 | 19.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,520 | +$403 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026? | No | 7,440 | 5.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$433 | $0 | |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026? | No | 6,724 | 6.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$443 | $0 | |
| Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 5,633 | 23.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,303 | −$89 | |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 5,508 | 0.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$52 | −$3.59 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | Yes | 5,353 | 1.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$59 | $0 | |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | Yes | 5,000 | 1.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$80 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 5,000 | 0.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$40 | +$30 | |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 4,558 | 8.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$407 | −$71 | |
| US strikes Iran by January 27, 2026? | Yes | 4,545 | 0.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$35 | $0 | |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | No | 4,317 | 42.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,827 | −$378 | |
| Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs | TEAM VISION | 3,597 | 58¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,085 | −$1,203 | |
| Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | No | 1,981 | 17.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$349 | −$11 | |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026? | No | 1,627 | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | +$2.98 | |
| Lionel Messi: 2+ goals | Yes | 1,430 | 8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$114 | −$5.26 | |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? | No | 1,415 | 14.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$209 | +$712 | |
| Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 1,162 | 75.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$873 | −$11 | |
| Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election? | Yes | 1,098 | 7.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$82 | −$3.04 | |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026? | No | 1,033 | 74.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$774 | −$112 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 21, 2026? | Yes | 1,000 | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.88 | $0 | |
| Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 158.5 | Under | 1,000 | 49¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$490 | $0 | |
| Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 135.5 | Over | 1,000 | 47¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$470 | $0 | |
| Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 136.5 | Over | 1,000 | 54¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$540 | $0 | |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026? | No | 966 | 64.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$620 | −$57 | |
| Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman? | No | 839 | 16.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$137 | +$81 | |
| Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 612 | 45.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$280 | −$7.59 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 22, 2026? | Yes | 548 | 0.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.50 | $0 | |
| Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 132.5 | Over | 500 | 50¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$250 | $0 | |
| Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be less than 490m by August 31? | Yes | 468 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.47 | −$0.02 | |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 15 and 20 million views on day 1? | Yes | 458 | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.92 | $0 | |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | Yes | 361 | 13.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$47 | +$156 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 23, 2026? | Yes | 327 | 1.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.24 | +$5.92 | |
| Dani Olmo: 1+ goals | Yes | 317 | 16¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$51 | −$2.13 | |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Flash model release by September 15, 2026? | Yes | 262 | 4.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$12 | −$0.31 | |
| Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | Yes | 240 | 36¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$86 | −$2.76 | |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026? | No | 237 | 40.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$96 | +$13 | |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | Yes | 211 | 30.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$64 | $0 | |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 15, 2026? | Yes | 200 | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.20 | −$0.05 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 24, 2026? | Yes | 186 | 1.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.77 | +$1.90 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 25, 2026? | Yes | 111 | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.33 | $0 | |
| Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 146.5 | Over | 35 | 53¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$19 | −$5.46 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | Down | 16 | 68.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | Down | 10 | 52¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.20 | −$0.17 | |
| Will Kylian Mbappe score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 6 | 80¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.80 | −$0.05 | |