PnL all-time+$3,571vol $1.79M
PnL 30d+$368gains $4,625 · losses $4,506
PnL 7d+$141win rate 7d 47.0%
Win rate43.1%adj 43.4% · 30d 45.9%
Open value$3,154cash n/a
Positions12 / 2,990open / all-time
Max drawdown−63.3%of equity peak
Account age2.3ylast trade 4h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$5,097below peak −$5,725Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
49/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale51
Adjusted win rateraw 43.1% · shrunk toward 50%8
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity37
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yesclosed−$993Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Noclosed−$599Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? · Yesclosed−$509Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? · Yesclosed−$252Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 · Overclosed−$154
Open positions · 12
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 2,666 | 51.7¢ | 62.5¢ | $1,666 | +$287 | +$5.52 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | 423 | 64.7¢ | 69.5¢ | $294 | +$20 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 338 | 68¢ | 70.5¢ | $238 | +$8.60 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 279 | 55.3¢ | 61.5¢ | $171 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 394 | 43.1¢ | 42.5¢ | $167 | −$2.54 | +$20 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 172 | 58¢ | 71.5¢ | $123 | +$23 | +$0.98 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 196 | 51¢ | 61.5¢ | $121 | +$21 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 244 | 40.9¢ | 41.5¢ | $101 | +$1.36 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat? | Yes | 176 | 17¢ | 36.5¢ | $64 | +$34 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat? | No | 137 | 35.7¢ | 37¢ | $51 | +$1.82 | $0 | |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 152 | 33¢ | 27.5¢ | $42 | −$8.33 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | No | 43 | 28¢ | 27.5¢ | $12 | −$0.21 | $0 |
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