PnL all-time+$6,848vol $120k
PnL 30d+$8,044gains $9,898 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$896win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate100.0%adj 69.7% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$14.2kcash n/a
Positions11 / 24open / all-time
Max drawdown−14.6%of equity peak
Account age2.3ylast trade 13h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$7,206below peak −$322Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
43/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale55
Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%74
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable46
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity85
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? · Noclosed+$3,157Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4? · Noclosed+$1,577Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? · Noclosed+$1,493Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? · Noclosed+$1,197Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? · Noclosed+$1,171
Worst markets
Will Max Verstappen win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? · Noopen−$1,124Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30? · Yesopen−$562Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18? · Noopen−$523Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11? · Noopen−$486Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the debate? · Yesopen−$304
Open positions · 11
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11? | No | 8,489 | 84.7¢ | 78.5¢ | $6,664 | −$528 | $0 | |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11? | No | 7,153 | 92.5¢ | 90.6¢ | $6,480 | −$137 | $0 | |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13? | Yes | 1,000 | 49¢ | 49.5¢ | $495 | +$5.00 | $0 | |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18? | No | 7,143 | 7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$500 | −$23 | |
| Will Max Verstappen win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | No | 3,385 | 32.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,090 | −$34 | |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30? | Yes | 3,069 | 18.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$562 | $0 | |
| Will Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw? | Yes | 1,029 | 28¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$288 | −$10 | |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the debate? | Yes | 486 | 62.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$304 | $0 | |
| Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4? | Yes | 293 | 16.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$49 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 10? | Yes | 164 | 14.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$24 | −$0.42 | |
| Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-12? | Yes | 650 | 35¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$228 | −$7.39 |
Recent trades
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